China's economy is showing a clear upward trend

[China Epoxy Network (China Epoxy Industry Online)June 25, 2009: A signed article published on the website of the National Bureau of Statistics stated that statistical data and related administrative records show that my country’s current economy is present A more obvious trend of stopping the decline and rebounding.
According to the analysis of this article, since the fourth quarter of last year, under the influence of a series of national macro-control policies, my country's economic operation has initially contained the momentum of decline in growth, showing positive changes in stabilization and improvement, and positive factors are accumulating.
From the perspective of GDP operation trend, according to the performance and trend analysis of the main economic indicators in April and May, the GDP in the second quarter is expected to be close to 8%, showing a more obvious trend of stopping decline and rebound.
Judging from the quarterly GDP year-on-year situation, the bottom of this round of economy should be in the fourth quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year.
Judging from the quarter-on-quarter GDP preliminary estimated by relevant departments, the third quarter of last year increased by 2%, the fourth quarter increased by 0.
1%, the first quarter of this year increased by 1.
5%, and the second quarter is expected to increase by more than 2%.
From this judgment, the bottom of this round of economy should be In the fourth quarter of last year.
From the perspective of industrial production trends, since March, there has been a relatively obvious trend of volatility and rebound.
In 3, 4, and May, the growth rate was 8.
3%, 7.
3% and 8.
9% respectively, and the growth rate in May basically returned to the level of October last year.
Judging from the quarter-on-quarter situation preliminary estimated by the relevant departments, the quarter-on-quarter decline was 3.
4% in the fourth quarter of last year, and the quarter-on-quarter increase was 3.
2% in the first quarter of this year.
The trend of industrial operation shows that the bottom of this round of economy should be in November and December last year and January and February this year.
The country’s daily steel output began to fluctuate in December last year and reached 1.
848 million tons in May this year, the highest level since last year.
The national daily average power generation began to pick up since March this year, exceeding 9 billion kilowatt hours in March, April, and May, and it was close to 10 billion kilowatt hours in early June.
According to the analysis of this article by the National Bureau of Statistics, whether from the perspective of GDP, industrial production growth, or physical indicators such as steel production, power generation, etc.
, if there are no new major accidents, it can be basically concluded that the current Chinese economy has already seen In the end, the most difficult time has passed, and the economy is expected to stabilize and improve in the next stage.
Although the positive changes in the current economic operation are increasing and the signs of stabilization are more obvious, the world economy is still in a deep recession, some long-term accumulated contradictions in China have further emerged, and there are still many obstacles to the sustained and stable recovery of my country's economy.
.
Including insufficient external demand as the main contradiction, excess production capacity in some industries, and rising inflation expectations.

(Our reporter Meili)

Ben Wang 2007 enable the "Chinese epoxy net" new name retains "China Epoxy Resin Industry online" name
English name: E- .