Can this summer's drought in Gansu help the price of astragalus break through?

In the Gansu traditional Chinese medicine "troika" of angelica, ginseng, astragalus, astragalus price fluctuations are the most "gentle", are the annual use of more than 40,000 tons of varieties, why astragalus but no star life? The drought in Gansu in June and July this year led to a significant increase in the prices of angelica and party ginseng, can the price of astragalus also usher in a wave of rapid market growth? In this issue, the big data platform of traditional Chinese medicine industry in Tiandi Cloud Map analyzes
the market of this variety according to the production and marketing data.
First, the astragalus market, the origin of the movement of Bozhou market: affected by the drought in Gansu this summer, astragalus attention to the increase in merchants, the price rise, the recent movement is stable, the market has not fluctuated significantly, the current market in the market more than 20 yuan (kilogram price, the same below), small strip price of 15-17 yuan
.
Anguo market: the market astragalus inventory is sufficient, the demand is stable, the overall movement is general, the market and the previous period remain stable, the current market astragalus pharmaceutical factory feeding wool price between 16-18 yuan, small pieces of price between
20-23 yuan.
Yulin market: the market astragalus supply digestion is good, with the arrival of the peak season, inventory gradually digested, the market in the past month slightly better, in recent days the price of smooth operation, the market price of small pieces between 25-28 yuan, medium tablets 35-40 yuan, large pieces of 55-60 yuan
.
According to the business operators of astragalus origin, affected by the epidemic, the overall transaction in Minxian and other places has been slow recently, and the transaction price is basically stable
.
The price of 0.
6-0 .
8cm size astragalus festival is 26.
5-32 yuan, the price of 0.
8-1.
0cm size astragalus festival is 35-39 yuan, the price of 1.
0-1.
2cm size astragalus festival is 39-46 yuan, the price of 1.
2-1.
4cm size astragalus festival is 47-54 yuan, and the transaction price of pharmaceutical factory feeding specification astragalus is about
15-16.
5 yuan 。 Second, the price has been stable in recent years Figure: Astragalus 2016-2022 Market Price Chart In 2010, the planting area of astragalus is not large, the inventory is not abundant, the market is out of the trough, and the price of astragalus (Tong/Gansu) rose from about 8 yuan to nearly 28 yuan in June 2011, completing a leap
.
As can be seen from the historical price chart, the price of this variety rose from 7.
5 yuan in 2003 to 28 yuan in 2011, which lasted 8 years
.
After 2012, astragalus production began to recover, the market continued to fluctuate and fall, although there was a rebound during the period, but because the astragalus production area is widely distributed, the rapid development of secondary production areas, poverty alleviation planting area is also expanding, coupled with abundant inventory, from that year on, astragalus market is difficult to improve
.
From 2016 to 2017, due to the low price of astragalus, the place of origin has increased its attention, and the price of astragalus has risen slightly, and the price of unified goods has risen to 18 yuan, but in the end, due to the characteristics of large inventory and easy storage than the party, the price has fallen
.
In May 2019, the price of astragalus fell to the bottom, only 9 yuan
.
After the new production in 2019, the price of astragalus ushered in a significant increase
.
Under the stimulation of high prices, the area of astragalus seedlings in 2020 has increased unabated, and the supply of astragalus seedlings has been guaranteed, so that there is no shortage of
seedlings in astragalus planting in 2021-2022.
However, due to the fact that the cultivation of astragalus takes 2-3 years, although the expansion phenomenon of 2020-2021 in the early stage is obvious, it is still mainly based on
the consumption of the land area and old inventory before 2020.
At the beginning of 2021, the inventory rate of astragalus fell significantly, and the price rose slightly, but then the market has been running smoothly so far
.
Third, there are many production areas Astragalus likes cool, drought tolerance is strong, cultivated products are mainly Inner Mongolia Astragalus, and there are fewer
membrane pods of Astragalus.
Its production areas are mainly distributed in Gansu, Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Xinjiang, Ningxia and Northeast China, of which Gansu has the largest output, accounting for more than
50% of the national output.
Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Xinjiang flat and open, suitable for mechanized planting and production, new production areas, new production methods make the cost is getting lower and lower, impact inventory prices
.
According to the statistics of Tiandi Yuntu Chinese medicine industry big data platform, the national astragalus output in 2020 is about 57,006 tons, and the output of astragalus in 2021 is about 58,895 tons
.
Fourth, the dosage is stable Astragalus is the dried root of the legume plant Mongolian astragalus or membrane pod astragalus, which is a bulk medicinal material for tonic and beneficial qi, and is also a bulk product of food supplement and feeding, which has enhanced immunity, liver protection, diuretic, anti-aging, antihypertensive and extensive antibacterial effects
.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of the traditional Chinese medicine industry in Tiandi Yuntu, the national astragalus consumption in 2020 is about 48,041 tons, and the amount of astragalus in 2021 is about 51,500 tons
.
V.
Analysis of main demand products and enterprises In terms of demand for proprietary Chinese medicines, through the screening of 7702 kinds of proprietary Chinese medicines monitored by the platform, there are currently 1079 kinds of proprietary Chinese medicines containing astragalus, and the top demand of proprietary Chinese medicines is ginseng fuzheng injection, astragalus injection, Baizi Yangxin pills, Yuping wind granules, and
beneficial blood ointment.
The enterprises with the highest demand for astragalus are Lizhu Group Limin Pharmaceutical Factory, Chia Tai Qingchun Bao Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Jingxiutang Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, Jiangxi Jimin Credible Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, and Guangdong Global Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd
.
of Sinopharm Group 。 At present, the cost of planting astragalus in the land is between 2400-2700 yuan per mu, and the mu yield is 700 kilograms of fresh goods, according to the price of 6 yuan per kilogram of fresh goods, the planting income of large households in the land is good, which is also an important reason why
it is difficult to significantly reduce the planting area in recent years.
2, 2022 northwest varieties of general rise This year, Gansu due to the impact of drought, the early stage of Yinchen, the middle of the dandelion, the recent party ginseng, angelica and other varieties of the price have risen, astragalus production has declined? If production is reduced, the price increase is also one of
the contributing factors.
In summary, only from the perspective of supply and demand, astragalus has many production areas, large planting areas, and although the demand is large, the overall situation of oversupply has not changed
.
However, due to the drought in Gansu this year, most of the Gansu varieties have risen to varying degrees, and whether astragalus can produce new ones and then rise, it is necessary to pay close attention to the
new yields.
First, the astragalus market, the movement of the place of origin two, in recent years the price is stable three, the place of origin is many four, the dosage of stable medicinal materials five, the main demand products and enterprises to analyze the pharmaceutical enterprises six, the market prejudgment