Autumn Fei City Quotes Guanlan

In the first half of 2016, the chemical fertilizer market stumbling forward, the prices of mainstream fertilizers have suffered successive setbacks, especially since the end of spring fertilizer use, the prices of some fertilizers have been refreshing the historical low prices in the past ten years in China, and now it has entered July In the middle of the month, according to the habits of previous years, the factory will start production and sales in the autumn market.
This year, the prices of various fertilizers will be lower in the autumn market.
But which fertilizer can be the first to rise first? Current domestic urea market.
Although the price of urea market has recently increased in some areas due to a slight improvement in agricultural demand, the overall market is still not too optimistic.
Even individual factories have lowered the settlement ex-factory price to 1060 due to increased delivery volume.
Yuan/ton, which is even more shocking to the current industry insiders.
Although there is still a certain demand for agriculture in the later period, the overall domestic supply is relatively large.
If there is no injection of external factors, the market will hardly show signs of significant increase; and the autumn fertilizer market is very The demand for urea is not so strong, and there are many alternative products, such as ammonium chloride, ammonium sulfate, etc.
; although there have been recent transactions in exports, the price is relatively low.
For example, this time India’s quantitative bidding of 420,000 tons.
It is said that Iran is the lowest bid price in this tender, which is only 179.
95 US dollars/ton CFR.
According to this price, the China arrival price is only 995 yuan/ton.
The industry said that this price is lower than domestic factories' expectations.
The factory’s bid CIF price is 195-205 US dollars/ton.
From this point of view, the willingness of enterprises to reduce domestic supply pressure through exports is still difficult to achieve
.
The current market for monoammonium and diammonium??? The autumn market is the main battlefield for high-phosphate fertilizers, and the substitution of similar domestic products is relatively low.
Although the rigid demand support is relatively sufficient, the market is still not satisfactory
.
The overall design production capacity of domestic monoammonium is more than 20 million tons, and the market is relatively weak.
Domestic monoammonium prices have been falling.
It is reported that the actual ex-factory price of 55% powdered ammonium in individual factories has fallen below 1,500 yuan/ton, compared with around May 2014 The price is still at the bottom.
Although the factory and the downstream companies are launching joint sales by the Federal Reserve, it is not yet the peak season for fertilizer use at this stage.
The actual consumption of goods is relatively small, and there are relatively more sources of choice; while the progress in exports is flat, 55% The export FOB price of granular monoammonium is only less than 270 US dollars/ton, and the transaction volume is relatively small; in summary, the domestic and foreign demand has been delayed, and the pressure on monoammonium enterprises will gradually increase, and price suppression is also reasonable.
in
.
The price of diammonium has repeatedly broken new lows.
The mainstream export price of 64% of diammonium has dropped to about US$320/ton, which is equivalent to only about 1,900 yuan/ton in domestic arrival.
The domestic market is also in dire straits.
Shandong Lianghe and other high-phosphate fertilizers Although traders in major consumption areas have inquiries, the actual transaction volume is very small, and companies have to enter a price war.
It is reported that the price of 57% of diammonium is the most severe in the market at this stage.
The export price of 57% of diammonium in Shandong has been It fell to 1850 yuan/ton
.
Fertilizers such as general calcium, calcium, magnesium, and phosphorus have entered the off-season in demand.
Although the price will not fall, it is difficult to increase the price due to low attention.
The recent export of heavy calcium is also slightly average, and it is reported that the price to Hong Kong is only At around 1350 yuan/ton, the market for ammonium phosphate is expected to improve slightly in the autumn, but the supply of goods is in short supply and the possibility of maintaining stability at high prices is relatively low as it was last year
.
? The current market situation of potassium chloride and potassium sulfate??? Recently, China's large potassium chloride contract was finally finalized on the 14th of this month.
The Chinese potash fertilizer joint negotiating team submitted a satisfactory report to the industry at a CIF price of US$219/ton in China.
Answered the paper, but in the context of the overall industry downturn, the potassium chloride market still does not see the possibility of a major improvement for the time being.
In addition to the potash fertilizer contract, the dispatch fee and other related issues have not been clarified, that is to say, potassium chloride in the later period.
There is still a possibility of a certain decline in costs
.
Potassium chloride is the main raw material of potassium sulfate, which means that potassium sulfate will share the honor and disgrace of potassium chloride
.
The compound fertilizer market is on the rise??? First, the supply of goods exceeds demand after the market enters the peak season; second, the overall increase of raw materials is relatively large
.
However, according to the current market analysis, the probability of these two possibilities is relatively low, and the possibility of compound fertilizer rising is low
.
In summary, these major fertilizers are still facing more or less negatives.
According to the low-end prices, the various fertilizers have also fallen below the historical lows.
However, in terms of the price cuts, the urea has a relatively large decline.
For other fertilizers, a rebound will be given priority, but the specific time will still be considered
.