Analysis on the price trend of livestock products and feed in August 2005

Introduction: according to the survey and statistics of 450 livestock products and feed price information points in China, compared with the previous month (hereinafter referred to as the month on month) in August, the prices of eggs, beef and feed corn rose slightly, while the prices of pig products and mutton continued to decline Compared with the same period last year (hereinafter referred to as the same period last year), the price of beef and mutton increased, while the price of pig products, eggs and feed decreased In August, the ratio of pig to grain was 5.95:1, which was lower than that of last month, but remained above 5.5:1 for 25 consecutive months 1 The price of pig products continues to decline The average price of piglets, live pigs and pork in China is 12.74 yuan per kilogram (hereinafter referred to as "the price unit"), 7.80 yuan and 12.94 yuan, respectively, down 4.6%, 1.8% and 1% on a month on month basis, down 12.7%, 15.6% and 12.1% on a year-on-year basis In terms of regional scope, the price of piglets is high in Northwest China, and low in Shandong, Guangxi and southwest China Live pig and pork prices are the highest in Shanghai, while Chongqing and Sichuan are relatively low In the near future, the price of pig products will decrease slightly In September, the Mid Autumn Festival, national day and other festivals will come one after another, which will certainly promote the increase of pork consumption of residents and to some extent inhibit the further decline of pig product prices Since June 2003, pig products have experienced 17 consecutive months of growth, and the cumulative price increases of piglets, live pigs and pork have reached 107%, 66.8% and 57.3% respectively; at present, they have declined for 11 consecutive months, with a cumulative decline of 19.1%, 18.7% and 14.9% respectively From the comparative analysis of the two continuous processes, the downward trend is not over, but the range will not be very large 2 The price of poultry products has increased or decreased The price of eggs is 6.80 yuan, up 2.4% month on month, down 1.3% year on year Guizhou is the only province with a price above 9 yuan Each commercial egg laying chicken was 2.37 yuan, up 0.9% month on month, up 15.6% year on year Each commercial broiler was 2.29 yuan, down 3% month on month, up 10.1% year on year The price of live chicken was 11.05 yuan, up 0.7% month on month and 0.8% year on year The price of suit chicken was 10.95 yuan, down 0.6% month on month, up 0.6% year on year Live chicken and egg prices are expected to continue to rise slightly From January to August, the average price of eggs was 6.73 yuan, up 7.9% year-on-year The average prices of live chicken and suit chicken were 11.22 yuan and 11.13 yuan, up 12.4% and 11.5% year-on-year respectively From January to August, the price of egg and meat chickens was 2.3 yuan each, up 20.0% and 27.2% respectively year on year China is known as the traditional custom of "no chicken, no feast" In the past years, the "Festival effect" of the rising price of eggs and live chickens is obvious The price of eggs and live chickens is expected to rise in September and October, with the overall price higher than that of the same period last year 3 The price of beef and mutton is higher than that of beef and mutton is lower The national average price of beef was 17.46 yuan, up 0.3% month on month, up 5.6% year on year The national average price of mutton was 17.12 yuan, down 1% month on month, up 4.26% year on year Both beef and mutton are characterized by high prices in non major provinces in the South and low prices in major provinces in the north Later, the price of beef and mutton will rise steadily This year, the price of beef and mutton had a correction after February, but the overall price is still higher than last year From January to August, the average price of beef was 17.55 yuan, and that of mutton was 17.54 yuan, up 7.5% and 6.6% year on year respectively In autumn and winter, the consumption of beef and mutton will increase, and its price will rise steadily 4 Feed price corn price and layer mix price rose on a year-on-year basis, while fattening pig and broiler mix price remained the same on a year-on-year basis The national corn price was 1.31 yuan, up 0.8% month on month, down 8.4% year on year The lowest price in Jilin is 1.11 yuan, and the highest price in Hainan is 1.65 yuan The national soybean meal price was 2.86 yuan, down 1% on a month on month basis, down 6.8% on a year-on-year basis; the imported fish meal price was 6.25 yuan, down 0.5% on a month on month basis, up 2.3% on a year-on-year basis; the compound feed for fattening pigs was 1.88 yuan, down 2.6% on a month on month basis; the compound feed for broilers was 2.15 yuan, down 1.8% on a month on month basis, down 1.95 yuan, up 1% on a month basis, down 1.5% on a year basis Corn prices are expected to rise slightly in the future This year, corn and soybean meal prices fell steadily, with the average level lower than that of the same period last year From January to August, the average price of corn was 1.31 yuan, down 3.8% year on year; soybean meal was 2.87 yuan, down 6.8% year on year Due to the decrease of the price of corn and other feed materials, the price ratio of pig to grain and egg to grain has always been above the profit and loss point, which are 6.36:1 and 5.15:1, respectively The breeding benefits are reasonable and the animal husbandry production momentum is good Corn prices are expected to rise slightly in the future.