Analysis of the impact of the Ya'an earthquake in Sichuan on the corn market

According to the China Seismological Network, a 7.0-magnitude earthquake struck Lushan County, Ya'an City, Sichuan Province, at 08:00 BST on April 20, 2013, with a depth of 13 kilometersWhile praying and blessing the people in the affected areas, we are also concerned about the impact of the earthquake on the domestic economic environment, as well as the domestic corn marketmt3
It is psychological rather than substantivemt3before describing the impact of this earthquake on the market, we first review the 2008 5.12 Wenchuan earthquake and related information: according to the relevant Geological Survey records, Wenchuan earthquake is the 11th casualty earthquake on recordThe earthquake caused great anxiety and panic among the populationThe day after the earthquake, on May 13, the Shanghai Composite Index opened more than 3 per cent lower, after a rebound, the afternoon decline narrowed, the full-day performance was weak, to close down 1.84 per centThere was a rebound on May 14th, but then returned to the doldrumsAt the same time, SSE and Shenzhen Securities suspended trading in Sichuan listed companiesIn addition, people in many areas of Sichuan sleep on the streets, and even residents outside Sichuan are afraid to live at home because of panicWhat is certain is that the Wenchuan earthquake at that time to the market, the public caused a considerable negative moodmt3
We also do not deny that earthquakes bring psychological negative guidance to market tradersThis happens, will affect the domestic securities market trend in the short termAt present, the earthquake relief work is still in progress, but to observe the ya'an earthquake after the rescue work, can be said to be tense and orderlyFrom the central government to local civil society organizations, all kinds of rescue forces in Ya'an, created countless miracles of lifeTemporarily from the current casualties and infrastructure damage to the extent of the judgment, the earthquake is expected to be much less than the Wenchuan earthquake at that time, which also depends on the Wenchuan earthquake after the people everywhere for large-scale extreme disasters and daily emergency preparednessmt3
The short-term trend of the securities market is expected to be polarized, brokerage analysis, including transportation, communications operators, tourist hotels, real estate and power supply in Sichuan may be affected by high energy-consuming enterprises may suffer losses, but during the disaster relief on medicine, food, tent clothing and other relief materials demand will be very large, the relevant sectors will benefitPost-disaster reconstruction on cement, steel, aluminum, communications facilities supplies and other needs are relatively largemt3
Post-disaster reconstruction, the government or will accelerate the process of urbanization of the disaster area
mt3from the current available information shows that The city of Ya'an, Sichuan is located in the southern section of the Longmenshan earthquake fault zoneThe Longmenshan earthquake fault zone is one of the eight strong earthquake zones in SichuanSince ancient times, it has often been affected by geological disasters such as earthquakes and mudslidesThe second phase of relief after the earthquake will shift from 72 hours of gold to reconstructionGiven the special geographical location of the area, the rationalization of the reconstruction of the disaster area may become a window for the future country to accelerate urbanization At the same time, the central government will also increase support for the reconstruction of the disaster area Expenditures for earthquake relief and reconstruction of earthquake relief and reconstruction of the disaster-stricken people, rehabilitation and reconstruction of school buildings, rehabilitation of roads and bridges, emergency relief and rehabilitation of water conservancy facilities mt3
　　Affecting corn price trends still look at supply and demand mt3 we need to remind the market that in the medium and long term, the impact of natural disasters such as earthquakes is limited, the stock market continued to fall for a very short period of time, and does not have a subversive effect on the stock market At present, the domestic investment market is more or by domestic and foreign policy-oriented, capital operating environment, investment risk, yield fluctuations and other comprehensive factors analysis Because the impact of earthquakes on the market will be psychological rather than real, the market needs to be rational to deal with the main reasons for capital market adjustment, including the stock market mt3
　　In addition to the stock market, we are also concerned about the impact of earthquakes on the corn market geometry? The author believes that the current domestic corn prices are still in the short-term volatility of the weak cycle The reasons for the recent weakening of corn prices, in addition to the avian flu epidemic led to the southern consumer enterprises procurement conservative, the domestic part of the phase dissupply, and the production area traders in line with the price of weak, there is no doubt that the earthquake factor seislus the recent price weakness one of the reasons However, the author thinks that the seismic factor will be the weakest link of the above factors The impact of the earthquake on the market is undoubtedly due to road damage and the relief of the road will lead to the general transport vehicles can not enter normally For the outside concern about pig farming, the author believes that Ya'an City, Sichuan Province, the mountain-shaped landscape, and rich historical background, is a number of cultural birthplaces and assembly areas So in addition to the traditional aquaculture industry, the region contributes more from tourism and other industrial investment And the impact of this earthquake is relatively concentrated, is expected to have a limited impact on the local and overall pig consumption mt3
　　Sudden earthquakes have caused us to play down the market focus we are focusing on in the near future But the various factors that exist in the market still exist At present, the market is still supported by many factors Now that the grain and rain have passed, there are few signs of planting in the tohoku field This year by the spring flood, the spring cold caused by the conversion of corn varieties and corn, soybeans between the change of the species there is little suspense This year, the structure of domestic corn supply and the pace of supply have changed differently from the past Effective supply at the end of the year will change significantly and finally in the end of the year on the price The author thinks that the current domestic breeding industry due to the impact of emergencies, the growth rate may slow down, but the base is still large As a result, feed demand is still estimated at more than 120 million tons The number of wheat replacements this year is expected to be lower than last year Therefore, the future domestic corn market price will return to the basic supply and demand environment mt3
　　Finally, pray for the people in the disaster area mt3 A 7.0-magnitude earthquake with a depth of 13 kilometers occurred at 8:02 a.m Beijing time on April 20, 2013 in Lushan County, Ya'an City, Sichuan Province While praying and blessing the people in the affected areas, we are also concerned about the impact of the earthquake on the domestic economic environment, as well as the domestic corn market mt3
　　It is psychological rather than substantive mt3 before describing the impact of this earthquake on the market, we first review the 2008 5.12 Wenchuan earthquake and related information: according to the relevant Geological Survey records, Wenchuan earthquake is the 11th casualty earthquake on record The earthquake caused great anxiety and panic among the population The day after the earthquake, on May 13, the Shanghai Composite Index opened more than 3 per cent lower, after a rebound, the afternoon decline narrowed, the full-day performance was weak, to close down 1.84 per cent There was a rebound on May 14th, but then returned to the doldrums At the same time, SSE and Shenzhen Securities suspended trading in Sichuan listed companies In addition, people in many areas of Sichuan sleep on the streets, and even residents outside Sichuan are afraid to live at home because of panic What is certain is that the Wenchuan earthquake at that time to the market, the public caused a considerable negative mood mt3
　　We also do not deny that earthquakes bring psychological negative guidance to market traders This happens, will affect the domestic securities market trend in the short term At present, the earthquake relief work is still in progress, but to observe the ya'an earthquake after the rescue work, can be said to be tense and orderly From the central government to local civil society organizations, all kinds of rescue forces in Ya'an, created countless miracles of life Temporarily from the current casualties and infrastructure damage to the extent of the judgment, the earthquake is expected to be much less than the Wenchuan earthquake at that time, which also depends on the Wenchuan earthquake after the people everywhere for large-scale extreme disasters and daily emergency preparedness mt3
　　The short-term trend of the securities market is expected to be polarized, brokerage analysis, including transportation, communications operators, tourist hotels, real estate and power supply in Sichuan may be affected by high energy-consuming enterprises may suffer losses, but during the disaster relief on medicine, food, tent clothing and other relief materials demand will be very large, the relevant sectors will benefit Post-disaster reconstruction on cement, steel, aluminum, communications facilities supplies and other needs are relatively large mt3
　　Post-disaster reconstruction, the government or will accelerate the process of urbanization of the disaster area
mt3 from the current available information shows that The city of Ya'an, Sichuan is located in the southern section of the Longmenshan earthquake fault zone The Longmenshan earthquake fault zone is one of the eight strong earthquake zones in Sichuan Since ancient times, it has often been affected by geological disasters such as earthquakes and mudslides The second phase of relief after the earthquake will shift from 72 hours of gold to reconstruction Given the special geographical location of the area, the rationalization of the reconstruction of the disaster area may become a window for the future country to accelerate urbanization At the same time, the central government will also increase support for the reconstruction of the disaster area Expenditures for earthquake relief and reconstruction of earthquake relief and reconstruction of the disaster-stricken people, rehabilitation and reconstruction of school buildings, rehabilitation of roads and bridges, emergency relief and rehabilitation of water conservancy facilities mt3
　　Affecting corn price trends still look at supply and demand mt3 we need to remind the market that in the medium and long term, the impact of natural disasters such as earthquakes is limited, the stock market continued to fall for a very short period of time, and does not have a subversive effect on the stock market At present, the domestic investment market is more or by domestic and foreign policy-oriented, capital operating environment, investment risk, yield fluctuations and other comprehensive factors analysis Because the impact of earthquakes on the market will be psychological rather than real, the market needs to be rational to deal with the main reasons for capital market adjustment, including the stock market mt3
　　In addition to the stock market, we are also concerned about the impact of earthquakes on the corn market geometry? The author believes that the current domestic corn prices are still in the short-term volatility of the weak cycle The reasons for the recent weakening of corn prices, in addition to the avian flu epidemic led to the southern consumer enterprises procurement conservative, the domestic part of the phase dissupply, and the production area traders in line with the price of weak, there is no doubt that the earthquake factor seislus the recent price weakness one of the reasons However, the author thinks that the seismic factor will be the weakest link of the above factors The impact of the earthquake on the market is undoubtedly due to road damage and the relief of the road will lead to the general transport vehicles can not enter normally For the outside concern about pig farming, the author believes that Ya'an City, Sichuan Province, the mountain-shaped landscape, and rich historical background, is a number of cultural birthplaces and assembly areas So in addition to the traditional aquaculture industry, the region contributes more from tourism and other industrial investment And the impact of this earthquake is relatively concentrated, is expected to have a limited impact on the local and overall pig consumption mt3
　　Sudden earthquakes have caused us to play down the market focus we are focusing on in the near future But the various factors that exist in the market still exist At present, the market is still supported by many factors Now that the grain and rain have passed, there are few signs of planting in the tohoku field This year by the spring flood, the spring cold caused by the conversion of corn varieties and corn, soybeans between the change of the species there is little suspense This year, the structure of domestic corn supply and the pace of supply have changed differently from the past Effective supply at the end of the year will change significantly and finally in the end of the year on the price The author thinks that the current domestic breeding industry due to the impact of emergencies, the growth rate may slow down, but the base is still large As a result, feed demand is still estimated at more than 120 million tons The number of wheat replacements this year is expected to be lower than last year Therefore, the future domestic corn market price will return to the basic supply and demand environment mt3
　　Finally, pray for the people in the disaster area mt3