Analysis of the factors that slow down the development of feed industry in China.

Introduction: OA show ('918 '); the slowdown of feed development in China in 2013 is mainly affected by the following factors: CMJ CMJ IIt is affected by the national macroeconomic growth and policy adjustmentIn the past two years, China's economic growth has slowed down, and the annual GDP growth in 2013 is expected to be 7.5%The slowdown of macro economy will inevitably affect all industriesThe reduction of investment projects makes the production and consumption of meat group decreaseIn addition, the "eight provisions" and other vigorously advocated strict economy, luxury and wasteful consumption reduction, the carnivorous waste bubble was squeezed, returned to normal consumption, feed industry is also affected by this big environmentIn addition, this year is the license renewal year of feed production license, many feed enterprises' production qualifications are affectedDue to the dual role of market and policy, the development speed of feed industry is also slowing downCMJ CMJ IIAffected by food safety and public health events, consumers' confidence in quality and safety of livestock products has declined, which has inhibited normal consumption of livestock products, leading to greater pressure on the feed breeding situationNegative food news such as "bodybuilding pig", "fast-growing chicken", "Huangpu River dead pig", "Yurun problem meat" and the constant sporadic case of dead pork directly impacted consumer confidence, and the overall consumption level of livestock products was seriously affectedIn the first half of this year, the production and marketing of livestock and poultry breeding and products showed a weak trend, with both the quantity and price fallingThe breeding market was squeezed, and the price of pork only entered the rising channel in JuneIn terms of egg and poultry, due to the human infection of "h7n9 influenza" in March this year, and the continuous loss in China's layer breeding industry from February to August 2012, the stocks of our grandparents, parents and commercial generations of layers have declined to varying degrees, and the broiler industry has suffered the most from the "h7n9 influenza" incidentThe poultry trading market in many places has been closed, and the consumption of poultry meat has declined sharply from April to July As a result, most of the processing enterprises have to freeze the collection and storage of poultry meat, which is expected to revive consumptionAlthough the terminal demand slightly improved in late August, the poultry market is still oversuppliedThe farmers are still not active in mending fences, with a strong wait-and-see mood, and the recovery of the meat and poultry industry is slow At present, the normal breeding level has not been fully restored CMJ CMJ III from the perspective of industrial development cycle, the animal husbandry industry has entered the mature stage after rapid growth around 2005, and the main changes in the later stage are industrial structure adjustment and product quality improvement, entering the stage of gradual development In the next 10 years, feed industry can still enjoy the growth brought by scale dividend, but the growth rate will slow down gradually In 2013, the year-on-year ratio was basically the same In recent three years, the growth rate was 7.7% in 2012, 11.5% in 2011 and 9.4% in 2010 However, if the output is converted into compound feed, the growth rates in the past three years are respectively 4%, 6% and 3% The growth in recent three years is mainly the structural change growth formed by the continuous increase of the proportion of compound feed CMJ