Analysis and Prospect of broiler production and management in China in the next few months

Introduction: according to the actual situation of broiler production and operation in China since this year, it is expected that the situation of broiler production and operation in China will remain severe in the next few months 1 The price of broilers keeps low With the decrease of the price of chicken and live chicken, especially the recent increase of the price of broiler compound feed, the benefit of chicken raising begins to decline, and the demand for broilers also correspondingly reduces the price It is predicted that the feed price of broilers may fall after the new grain goes on the market However, due to the increase of domestic chicken production, the decrease of export and the slow growth of consumption, there is little room for the recovery of chicken price in China in the future, which will affect the recovery of chicken price 2 The price of poultry in the international market will continue to rise (1) the price of poultry in the United States will rise Russia partially resumed the import of poultry from the United States since April 15, 2002, but still announced a ban on the import of poultry from Maine, Virginia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania in the next six months, because poultry imported from these states were found to be infected with roll sickness virus In addition, Russia also refused to import poultry meat from 14 US manufacturers whose products have been inspected and tested for Salmonella disease Russia decided to adopt the quarantine standards reported by the authorities for poultry meat imported from the US in the future Over the next three months, the United States and Russia held many consultations on the new quarantine standards, but all failed until the two sides reached an agreement by telephone on July 25 this year This marks the end of Russia's ban on poultry meat in the United States, and the price of poultry meat in the United States will continue to rise as exports grow (2) Japanese chicken prices will stop falling sharply In Japan, due to the continuous heat, many broilers died of illness In addition, the typhoon also brought great losses to the chicken factory in Northeast Japan This will improve the oversupply of Japanese chicken According to Japan economic news on July 20, the wholesale price of chicken in the Japanese market has stopped falling In addition, due to Japanese chicken Importers' misestimation of the situation during the world cup, the excessive import of chicken led to a surge in the inventory, which has reached a record high It is worth noting that at present, there are also imported chicken sold since the end of 2001, which are being shipped to Japan in succession, thus limiting the export of China in the second half of the year, and the export of poultry meat from China to Japan in the second half of the year is still not optimistic 3 This year, the export of poultry meat in China has declined significantly, while the output has increased rapidly at the rate of about 8%, and the domestic consumption demand is limited In the second half of this year, the price of poultry in China is still under great pressure, and there is little room for its price to rise In addition, the arrival of the summer harvest season will also cause the price of chicken feed to fall, giving chicken a greater price reduction.