Analysis and forecast of the market situation of live pig in Jiangsu Province

Introduction: since this year, the pig production in Jiangsu Province has continued to develop healthily, and the market situation is relatively stable, mainly reflected in: 1 The market price is basically stable According to the provincial animal husbandry department, in the first half of the year, the purchase price of pigs was 20 yuan / 50 kg higher on average, and in the second half of the year, it was close to that of the previous year, with a slight decrease In late September, 25 vegetable farms in the province showed that the average price of pork was 9.67 yuan / kg, down 0.48 yuan / kg from the same period last year, and the market price was basically stable The supply of pork in urban and rural markets is sufficient, and consumers get greater benefits 2 High quality and good price are better reflected The survey and statistics in late September showed that the average purchase price of pigs at 11 sites in the province was 5.57 yuan / kg According to different regions in southern, central and Northern Jiangsu, the average purchase price this year is 4.6-5.0 yuan / kg for binary commodity pigs, 6.0-6.4 yuan / kg for binary hybrid commodity pigs, 6.6-7.0 yuan / kg for foreign ternary commodity pigs, with good quality and good price Third, the number of live pigs on the market has declined, but the number of pigs on the market has increased, and the structure has continued to be optimized According to the statistics of the animal husbandry department, at the end of September, there were 17.182 million pigs in the whole province, down 5% year on year; from January to September, there were 1996.81 million pigs in total, an increase of 1.3675 million compared with the same period last year, an increase of 7.4%; among the 1.3839 million sows in the end of September, two yuan sows accounted for 44.6%; from January to September, there were 8.2888 million three yuan hybrid lean pigs, accounting for 41.5% It is estimated that by the end of the year, there will be 20 million live pigs in the market, which is the same as that of the previous year; there will be 29.5 million meat pigs out of the market, which is an increase of 1.63 million over the previous year, an increase of 5.8% (statistical caliber of the Provincial Bureau of Statistics) 4 The benefit of pig raising is still good At present, the purchase price of pigs in this province is basically the same as that at the end of 1999 Compared with the price of 4.12 yuan / kg at the end of April 1999, it is increased by 1.45 yuan / kg, and increased by 35.2% At present, the ratio of pig to grain is 1:4.53 Because farmers can make full use of the food and green feed resources, the cost of pig raising is low, and a commercial pig can still make a profit of 30-50 yuan Although the cost of pig raising for large-scale pig raising households and large-scale professional households is higher than that for ordinary farmers, but because of the excellent varieties of pigs, especially the proportion of three yuan Hybrid Pigs with high lean meat rate, three yuan meat pigs The purchase price is 20% - 30% higher than that of binary pig, so it still has some benefits In recent years, the whole province has vigorously promoted the three yuan hybrid lean meat pig, and the production areas have taken the initiative to find markets and sign pig purchase and sales contracts The market share of Jiangsu commercial pigs in some large markets such as Shanghai and other places has been increasing, which greatly improves the competitiveness of the province's commercial pigs and expands the market Considering the current decline of pig stocks, the Spring Festival of new year's day will come The market price of pork is expected to rise in the later period (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: