An analysis of the effect of corn price drop on Farmers' grain sales

Introduction: for a long time, farmers in Northeast China have been following the psychological formula of "sell down, not sell up" imperceptibly in the process of selling corn Since July this year, the continuous decline of corn price has also prompted farmers in this region to show a pessimistic attitude towards the purchase price of new corn After the expectation that the actual purchase price of corn will tend to fall, farmers' psychology of selling grain is changing First of all, under the psychological formula of "selling down but not selling up", the number of corn sold by farmers in Northeast China will increase, and the phenomenon of reluctant to sell corn after the new corn was listed in 2000 will not appear again this year Secondly, it is expected that the time for farmers to sell corn in a centralized way will appear at the beginning of the scale opening, rather than around the Spring Festival and around the sowing as usual This is because most farmers expect that the purchase price will tend to fall, and the delayed sales time will lead to lower income In September, when new corn was about to be harvested in Northeast China, many farmers had said that due to the increase of corn planting (drought resistance) cost this year, only when the purchase price reached 0.50 yuan / jin (1000 yuan / ton), could the revenue and expenditure be balanced, and said that if the market price did not reach this level at that time, the quantity of grain sold would be reduced However, due to the rapid decline of corn prices, the sales psychology of farmers in Northeast China has gradually changed, that is to say, from wait-and-see sales to active sales Third, the news of China's accession to the WTO will also affect farmers' corn sales progress this year At present, more and more farmers have formed the concept that the price of agricultural products will be further reduced after China's accession to the WTO Therefore, it has become a choice for many farmers to cash in corn as soon as possible after the listing of autumn grain In this case, the peak period for farmers to sell corn will appear in advance.