After raising pigs lose money, raising chickens lose money again!

 　　2021 is a "disaster" year for the breeding industry.
Although pigs, chickens, and cattle were all in high profit margins at the beginning of the year, the subsequent highs and lows made pigs and chickens all In a state of huge losses, raising cattle will not make a big loss, but it is basically not profitable now
.
In previous years, the pigs have lost money, chickens have made money, pigs have made money, and chickens have lost money.
What is the reason for the overall loss of the breeding industry this year?fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　1.
Raising pigs goes up and down, and each has lost profits and losses.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　For pig farmers, the trend of pig prices in 2021 absolutely exceeded most people's expectations.
In more than 10 months, pig prices experienced two "unexpected" events
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The first is that the price of pigs rose to 18.
3 yuan at the beginning of 2021.
When everyone was looking forward to the price of pigs in 2021, they did not expect that the price of pigs would go all the way down.
The lowest fell to less than 5.
4 yuan in early October.
The decline exceeded 70%.
The pig industry has changed from a highly profitable industry that everyone admires to a miserable and huge loss industry.
When the loss is the most serious, a pig will lose 700 yuan for slaughter, and this is a self-raising and self-raising pig farm.
At the beginning of the year, the piglets purchased out of the pens were supplemented, and the piglets that were supplemented for the second fattening in April and May would even lose 2000-3000 yuan/head
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　There are several reasons for the slump in pig prices in the first half of the year: the volume of imported pork continues to be high, and the high price of pork restricts the enthusiasm of consumption.
While the number of live pigs has increased substantially, the weight of pigs for slaughter has also increased significantly, and a large number of pig farms are overly optimistic about subsequent prices.
The big fat caused the stampede phenomenon in the production of live pigs in the first half of the year, and the price of pigs fell
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The second one was in early October.
Everyone thought that the price of pigs in 2021 would be so late, and when they were ready to lose money, the price of pigs rose rapidly again, from 5.
4 yuan to the current one in 20 days.
8.
4 yuan, this price is above the cost line of most pig farms
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The sudden reversal of pig prices in October was affected by several factors, such as consumption picking up after the winter, the weight of live pigs dropped, the consumption of large fats, and the high prices of pig farmers
.
In addition, there are rumors that capital has been injected into the pig industry, and the purpose of boosting the price of pigs is to empty the stocks of frozen meat in the hands of traders and slaughter companies
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　After 4 months of losses, the current pig farming is basically not at a loss, but industry experts are not optimistic about the follow-up price, especially the price in the first half of next year
.
According to the changes in China's sow inventory data, the current national production capacity has not reached the highest level, superimposed on the low consumption in the first half of next year, and the recent replenishment of some pig farmers will increase the pressure of pig prices in the first half of 2022
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　2.
After raising pigs lose money, raising chickens will lose moneyfDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　From the performance forecasts issued by various chicken companies, it can be found that the broiler breeding industry with good profits in the first half of the year was cold in the third quarter, and profits were significantly reduced
.
The average price of broiler chickens in February was 17.
6 yuan/kg, and in August it fell to the lowest point of the year at 16.
56 yuan/kg.
Although there was a slight recovery in October, it only rose to 16.
81 yuan/kg
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　According to the farmers, the current cost of raising a broiler chicken is basically 5-10 yuan.
This is because the benefits of raising chickens in the first half of the year are ideal.
Many family-based farmers have joined the chicken industry, which has caused a large amount of broiler farming.
Increase
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In addition, the decline in pork prices in the middle of the year has largely seized the chicken market, resulting in an oversupply of chicken and a sharp drop in prices.
In the first quarter of 2021, the national average prices of medium-speed chicken and local chicken were 9.
1 yuan/jin and 9.
22 yuan respectively.
/ Catty, in June only 5.
14 yuan / catty and 7.
07 yuan / catty, chicken prices fell, it is naturally difficult to maintain high prices for chickens
.
At the current price, farmers have to lose every additional day for raising them, and after raising them for a long time, the purchasers of chickens are not only unwilling to collect them, but also unwilling to give too high prices
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　3.
After raising pigs and chickens at a loss, now raising cows is not profitable anymorefDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Compared with the large price fluctuations and obvious price cycles of hairy chickens and live pigs, the price of cattle will be much more stable.
This is mainly due to the fact that China's beef cattle breeding has been at a low level.
In 2019, China's beef production was 6.
67 million tons.
In 2020, beef production was 6.
72 million tons.
In 2019, China's beef imports were 1.
66 million tons and 2020 imports were 2.
12 million tons.
From the comparison of imported beef and domestic beef, it can be seen that China's beef production is in short supply.
, So the beef cattle breeding industry has always had good profits
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Especially in the second half of 2019, as the price of pork rose sharply, the price of beef also rose sharply, rising to 80 yuan per catty at the highest point.
Although the price of beef was also reduced as the price of pork fell in the middle of the year, it remained at 45.
Around yuan, raising cattle is still profitable
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The latest cattle price system shows that the current cattle price in various regions is basically between 17-18 yuan, 17-18 yuan in East China, 17.
1-18.
3 yuan in Central China, 17.
2-18.
4 yuan in South China, 17-17.
7 yuan in North China, and 17-17.
7 yuan in North China.
17-17.
7 yuan, 16.
9-17.
7 yuan in the northwest area, and 17.
2-18.
1 yuan in the southwest area
.
Although this price is still a certain profit for beef cattle farmers, because the beef cattle breeding cycle takes 10-12 months, the breeding cycle is too long and there is no high profit
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　4.
What's wrong with the aquaculture industry?fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　What caused the entire breeding industry to collapse in just less than a year? One of the reasons is the rush of farmers.
Due to the huge profits of breeding, the current national sow inventory has reached September and October 2019 The full recovery of live pig production capacity has turned pork from short supply to oversupply, and the price has fallen sharply.
It has seized the market for chicken and beef.
In addition, the amount of broiler and beef cattle has also increased significantly, making pigs, hairy chickens, and beef cattle.
Beef cattle prices fell across the board
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Another reason is the substantial increase in the cost of breeding.
Whether it is pigs, chickens, or cattle, feed costs can account for 70% of the cost of breeding.
Corn and soybean meal are important feed ingredients.
The price changes of the two have a very significant impact on the cost of breeding.
According to statistics, the average price of corn this year is 2500-2900 yuan/ton, an increase of 700 yuan/ton compared to 2020, and the average price of soybean meal is 3615 yuan/ton, an increase of 717 yuan/ton compared to last year
.
The increase in feed cost has brought huge cost pressure to the breeding industry, which is also an important reason for the loss of breeding
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The last reason is the forced price reduction at the slaughter end.
Whether it is raising pigs, chickens or cattle, the final fattening livestock and poultry must be sold to the slaughterhouse for slaughter.
In order to increase profits, the slaughterhouse will keep the price to a minimum, resulting in huge profits at the breeding end.
Down
.
The sharp drop in the price of live pigs in the first half of the year and the drop in the price of broilers in the third quarter have a lot to do with the forced price reduction at the slaughter end
.
fDH China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry