A summary of the price trend of animal products and feed in China in November 2003

Introduction: the first list of BSE in the United States was found According to the survey and statistics of 450 markets, the prices of livestock products and corn continued to maintain a rapid growth rate in November As the growth rate of corn is larger than that of live pigs, the price of pig food fell to 1:5.98, 0.05 percentage points lower than that of October, 0.2 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year, and it has been kept above 1:5.5 for four consecutive months 92x 1 The average price of pig products 92x in November was 9.23 yuan per kilogram (the same below), an increase of 3.1% on a month on month basis, and an increase of 18.6% on a year-on-year basis The increase was the largest this year, but it was down from January to march on a year-on-year basis Since 1999, only in February and March of 2001, the price has exceeded 9 yuan This month, there is no low price zone below 6.5 yuan, which is the first time this year The prices of Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou and Yunnan in Southwest China are relatively low The average price of four provinces is 7.59 yuan, 1.7 yuan lower than the national average price per kilogram, with a decrease of 17.8% The lowest price is 6.57 yuan in Sichuan Province There are 12 provinces with high price (above 10 yuan) and the highest price is 14.56 yuan in Inner Mongolia Compared with last month, six provinces declined, among which Hebei and Shandong, which had the largest increase last month, declined by 8.1% and 9.5% respectively From the year-on-year situation, it is still the southwest and northwest regions that are declining, while other regions are rising rapidly, with 12 provinces having a range of more than 30%, the highest in Jiangxi Province reaching 58.9% The average price of 92x live pig is 7.53 yuan, 8.5% higher than that of last month and 25.1% higher than that of last month, both of which are the biggest increases this year There are no provinces with prices below 6 yuan (set as low price zone), compared with 17 provinces in May There are 24 provinces whose price is more than 6.8 yuan (set as high price area), and 5 provinces whose price is more than 8.5 yuan, including Shanghai, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangdong and Hainan The lowest price is 6.08 yuan in Sichuan and the highest price is 9.5 yuan in Hainan On a month on month basis, all the provinces except Shandong rose, while the three northeastern provinces, Hubei and Hunan rose nearly or more than 10% From a year-on-year perspective, only 13 provinces, including Hebei, Anhui, Jiangxi, Shandong, Henan, Hubei and Hunan, saw a decline, with an increase of more than 30% 92x pork price was 12.41 yuan, up 7.5% month on month, up 20.6% year on year No province below 10 yuan this month The lowest price is 10.25 yuan in Yunnan and Ningxia There are 22 provinces with more than 11 yuan, 20 in October, and 4 provinces with more than 13.5 yuan Shanghai is still the highest price in China at 16.5 yuan The average price of four provinces in Southwest China is 10.78 yuan, 13% lower than the national average price The average price in Shanghai, Guangdong, Fujian and Hainan is 13.43 yuan, 8% lower than the national average price From a month on month perspective, only Qinghai and Xinjiang declined slightly, while Shanghai and Hainan, the sales regions, saw the largest increase, with 21% and 22%, respectively Hebei and Shandong, the production regions, were basically the same From a year-on-year perspective, only Xinjiang fell, with the production areas of Hebei, Zhejiang, Shandong, Henan and the sales areas of Tianjin, Shanghai and Hainan all increasing by more than 30% In November 92x, the price of pig products can be said to be another platform The price of piglets, live pigs and pork jumped from 7 yuan, 5 yuan and 10 yuan platforms at the beginning of the year to 9 yuan, 7 yuan and 12 yuan platforms respectively Moreover, both the month on month and the year-on-year are the largest this year, especially the year-on-year range is close to or more than 20% The price of pig products has been rising all the way since June, and it has kept rapid growth for four consecutive months, and the growth rate is faster and larger than that of one month This phenomenon is the first time since there are statistical data in 1994 Although it has been rising continuously in the 96-97 year with the best pig benefit, the growth rate is not as large as this time Although the rise of corn and soybean meal, the feed raw materials, makes the cost of pig raising rise, drives the price of products to rise, and according to the past price trend law, the price rise in the second half of the year is also normal, but this kind of continuous and accelerated rise must be vigilant, we must pay attention to adjust the structure of pig population and avoid risks From January to November, the average prices of piglets, live pigs and pork were 8.05 yuan, 6.22 yuan and 10.55 yuan, respectively, up 2.8%, 7% and 4.3% year on year Generally speaking, the price of pig products this year is higher than that of last year, and the stable and rising pattern can be maintained at least until next spring festival 92x 2 The price of 92x eggs for poultry products was 6.23 yuan, up 8.7% month on month, up 13.3% year on year The price of more than 6 yuan appeared before 1999 The price in North China and Northeast China is low, the lowest is 4.83 yuan in Beijing, and the highest is 8.79 yuan in Guizhou The main production areas (the output is more than 1.5 million tons, accounting for 58.4% of the national total) are Hebei, Liaoning, Jiangsu, Shandong and Henan provinces, with an average price of 5.14 yuan, 1.09 yuan lower than the national average price per kilogram, with a drop of 17.5% From the aspect of link ratio, all provinces are up, with the largest increase of 18% in Ningxia, and 9 other provinces are up more than 10% From a year-on-year perspective, only Zhejiang declined, with production areas of Liaoning and Shandong, and sales areas of Tianjin and Shanghai increased by more than 20% 92x live chicken price was 10.02 yuan, up 5.8% month on month, up 14.1% year on year The price of suit chicken was 9.92 yuan, up 4.2% month on month, up 6.5% year on year The price of commercial egg laying chicks was 2.03 yuan per chick, up 2.5% month on month, down 5% year on year The price of commercial broilers was 1.97 yuan, up 4.8% month on month, up 6.9% year on year In November, the price of poultry products continued to rise The price of eggs and live chickens increased by more than 10% year on year The price of suit chickens and meat chickens also increased year on year But from January to November, the average price of eggs, live chickens and suit chickens was 5.36 yuan, 9.03 yuan and 9.22 yuan, respectively, down 4%, 1.5% and 1.2% year on year The average price of egg chicks and meat chicks was 1.95 yuan and 1.84 yuan respectively, down 10.5% and 9.9% year on year Throughout the year, the price of poultry products is still running at a low price, and there is still room to rise with the increase of cost in the later stage The price of 92x 3 and 92x beef was 15.87 yuan, 2.9% higher than last month and 7.9% higher than last year From the perspective of production and marketing areas, Henan, Shandong, Hebei, Jilin and Anhui provinces, whose output is more than 300000 tons, have relatively stable prices, with an average price of 14.7 yuan, 1.2% higher than the previous month and 7.4% lower than the national average price; Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Fujian, Guangdong, Hainan and Chongqing have an average price of 18.98 yuan, 4.5% higher than the previous month 2%, 19.6% higher than the national average price, indicating that the sales area is growing faster By region, Hebei Province (13.97 yuan) and Qinghai Province (13.5 yuan) have prices below 14 yuan In the provinces above 20 yuan, there are Shanghai (22.33 yuan), Zhejiang (20.12 yuan), Fujian (20.5 yuan) and Guangdong (20.56 yuan) The price of 92x mutton was 16.19 yuan, 0.9% higher than last month and 1% higher than last year In terms of production and marketing areas, Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Shandong, Henan and Xinjiang (the total output accounts for 54% of the national total) with a production capacity of more than 250000 tons have five major production areas, with an average price of 14.74 yuan, down 1.3% compared with the previous month, 9% lower than the national average price, mainly 1.3% lower than that in Shandong and Xinjiang; Shanghai, Fujian, Guangdong and Hainan have an average price of 22.72 yuan, up 2.7% compared with the previous month, higher than the average The price is 40%, reflecting the increase of consumption in the sales area The lowest price is 12.12 yuan in Qinghai Province and 27.25 yuan in Hainan Province On a month on month basis, there are 22 provinces that are flat and up, with Hainan up 8.2% From a year-on-year perspective, 19 provinces rose From January to November, the average price of beef and mutton was 15.2 yuan and 15.95 yuan respectively, up 8% and 1.2% year on year It is expected that the price of beef and mutton will be relatively stable in the future The price of 92x 4 and 92x feed corn in November was 1.26 yuan per kilogram, up 9.6% month on month, up 21% year on year The prices of Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang are about 1 yuan respectively From the aspect of link ratio, the prices of Liaoning and Jilin are up 1%, Heilongjiang is down 1%, and all three provinces are up 15.6%, 14.2% and 20.5% year on year From a year-on-year perspective, the growth rate of 16 provinces exceeded 20%, and that of Henan was 37.7% The average price of corn from January to November was 1.13 yuan, up 3.9% year on year As the price increase of corn is greater than that of live pig and egg, the price of pig and egg in November fell slightly, 1:5.98 and 1:4.94 respectively, 0.05 and 0.04 percentage points lower than that in October 92X