Where is the way of soybean industry in China (2)

Introduction: new page 1 low price soybeans flow into China's market CG6 domestic demand for soybeans has not promoted the development of domestic production, which is due to various reasons In addition to the shortage of land resources and the deterioration of ecological environment in China, large-scale land reclamation and soybean planting are not allowed to meet the domestic needs The main reason is the high cost and low efficiency of domestic production, and the sufficient supply of soybean in the international market The huge demand of China's market makes cheap soybeans enter the international market In the past 10 years, China's soybean imports have accounted for a rapid increase in the share of world trade CG6 according to the annual statistical data of crops, in 1990 / 1991, almost no soybeans were imported into China In 1991 / 1992, the import volume of soybeans in China was only 136000 tons, accounting for 0.47% of the global trade volume From 1992 / 1993 to 1994 / 1995, the highest proportion was 0.5% Since 1995 / 1996, the share of China's soybean imports in the world's total imports has grown rapidly, reaching 2.44% in 1995 / 1996; 6.1% in 1996 / 1997, and the number of imported soybeans is 2.283 million tons, breaking through 2 million tons for the first time; since then, it has never been lower than this number By 2000 / 2001, China's share of imported soybeans in the world's total has reached 25.5% The demand of CG6 for soybeans in China makes the price of soybeans in China significantly higher than that in the international market This price gap is one of the factors leading to the large-scale import of soybeans in China, and the large-scale import in turn inhibits the rise of soybean prices in China CG6 Table 2: China's soybean import volume accounts for the rapid growth of world share unit: 10000 tons CG6 year 1990 / 1991 / 1992 / 1993 1993 / 1994 / 1995 / 1996 World import volume 2576 2883.3 2994.1 2907.4 3268.6 3290.4 China's import volume is 0.1, 13.6, 15, 12.5, 15.5, 80.2, accounting for 0.47, 0.5, 0.43, 0.47, 2.44 1996 / 1997, 1997 / 1998, 1998 / 1999, 1999 / 2000 2000 / 2001 world imports 3738.7 3946.4 4082.2 4745.2 5193.6 China imports 228.3 295.5 386.1 1010.7 1324.7 accounting for 6.17.49 9.46 21.3 25.5 (Note: calculated from October to September of the next year) CG6 from another point of view, in 2000, China's soybean import and output ratio has exceeded 50% As can be seen from the table below, the ratio of China's import to output was only 5.93% in 1995 Since 1997, the ratio of import to output has increased significantly The proportion reached 19.6% in 1997, 30.2% in 1999, 67.62% in 2000 when China imported more than 10 million tons of soybeans, and it is expected to exceed 80% in 2001 CG6 Table 3: comparison of China's soybean import and output unit: 10000 tons of CG6 year output import and output ratio 1995 1350 80 5.93% 1996 1322 110.4 8.35% 1997 1472.8 288.6 19.6% 1998 1515.2 320.1 21.1% 1999 1429 432 30.2% 2000 1541 1042 67.62% 2001 (estimated) 1500 1250 83.33% In fact, compared with the total output, the proportion of imports is still limited In recent years, in addition to the soybeans consumed by the producers themselves, the number of soybeans entering the market has declined significantly It is estimated that the actual amount of soybean entering the market circulation is less than 1 / 3 of China's total soybean output If this estimate can be established, the total amount of imported soybean entering the market circulation has reached more than 2 / 3, that is to say, the quantity of imported soybean is more than twice that of China's soybean commodity CG6 the pattern of soybean exporting countries in the world has not changed greatly in recent years The United States and a few Latin American countries still monopolize the world market The United States is the country with the largest soybean export volume, followed by Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay In addition to the above four countries, the number of soybean exports from other countries is less than 5% of the global trade volume CG6 Table 4: export volume of the world's major soybean exporting countries in 2000 unit: thousand tons CG6 countries United States Argentina Brazil Uruguay other countries export volume 27080 6250 13700 2520 2053