Where is the "Made in China 2025" auto industry going forward?

The change of time node does not hinder our courage to make big strides forward, but the automotive industry especially needs to speed up to catch up.
Fast and slow are always dialectical opposition and unity.
"China considers delaying high-tech'China 2025' plans (China Considers Delaying High-Tech'Made in China 2025' Plans)!"Bloomberg once again threw a blockbuster.
Naturally, Xinyuan still has some boring routines-"two anonymous people who know the inside story".
Scribbled in detail, the article seems to have some headlines.
According to Xinyuan, the Chinese government is considering delaying the goal of "partial areas" in the "Made in China 2025" plan for ten years, that is, it will be reached around 2035.
According to the article, high-tech fields such as artificial intelligence, alternative energy, and aerospace in "Made in China 2025" are the main goals of Trump's trade war.
China is trying to ease the tension in the trade war with the United States.
The cunning Bloomberg did not bluntly express that "Made in China 2025 slows down, it is a concession to the United States in the trade war", but the background description and the meaning of the Spring and Autumn Period are self-evident.
Aside from suggestive display and face care, there are no more topics that interest in-depth observers than "Will China partially postpone the 2025 plan", "Which areas may need to be postponed", and "Slow down and pace of goals Speed ​​up".
   If it is just a change in time, it will not hinder our courage to move forward and the firm belief in our hearts.
As the jewel in the industrial crown, China's automobile industry especially needs to speed up to catch up in many manufacturing branches, confirming the dialectical relationship between fast and slow.
   Since ancient times, if the ruler of a big country cooks small dishes, the faster the rhythm of the times, the more the heart of decision-making needs to be silent, let time stand still, and thus understand everything.
Made in China, the core goal will not be shaken.
Made in China, the core goal will not be shaken.
      The Sino-US trade war will be the most important news event in all fields in the world in 2018.
This is not only a violent collision between the first two economies, but also the vortex spreading to Europe, Japan, South Korea and other mainstream countries in the world, and it also announced that the global pattern is slowly changing from technology to political and economic angles.
   This "number one incident" is precisely the sword pointing to the "Made in China 2025" plan that came out three years ago.
In March of this year, the US Trade Representative’s Office specifically listed the ten major industries highlighted in “Made in China 2025”, including new-generation information technology, high-end equipment, energy-saving and new energy vehicles, new materials, and biomedicine, and expressed concern.
   "China has stated that it will invest hundreds of billions of yuan in high-tech technology and achieve an international leading position.
If China is allowed to do so, it will be detrimental to the United States.
" The U.
S.
Trade Representative and hawkish representative Lighthizer once said that these innovative technologies are covered in " Made in China 2025" plan.
According to the reasons of the United States, while China is developing high and new technology, it has obtained U.
S.
technology through illegal channels, which harms U.
S.
intellectual property rights and threatens local jobs.
   As a result, we can see that in the first round of the trade war, the US products that China targeted were mainly soybeans and other agricultural products, while the US targeted China's high-tech products.
It seems that in the traditional concept, the labels of developing countries in China and the number one developed country in the United States are completely reversed in the ring.
   When the “Made in China 2025” program announced on May 19, 2015 that this ancient oriental country had begun to hit the highest peak of mankind, and under the guidance of the “Equipment Manufacturing Standardization and Quality Improvement Plan”, China’s artificial intelligence, new energy vehicles, hypersonic aircraft, Quantum communication technology and other fields are in the forefront of the world.
As the traditional hegemony that has led the world for decades, the United States can be anxious.
   During the transition period before the replacement of the old and new leaders, concerns about the rise of China and threats to the status and interests of the United States were the fundamental reasons for Trump to launch a trade war.
Details such as intellectual property rights and information theft, on the contrary, appear to be more and more superficial in the face of this macro factor.
 So, will China make concessions on the 2025 plan?  So, will China make concessions on the 2025 plan?     In fact, the "Wall Street Journal" mentioned the changes in "Made in China 2025" earlier than Bloomberg.
Its article on the 12th stated that the Chinese government intends to give foreign companies more powers and draft a new plan to replace "Made in China 2025.
" .
   But so far, the "alternative plan" is still only "informed disclosure" and "rumors" in the mouth of foreign media.
According to the "Daily Car", the Chinese government has not yet finalized whether to revise the "Made in China 2025" plan, and Bloomberg also admitted that it is not clear whether China's ideas have been exchanged with Trump.
   From an overseas standpoint, the downward revision of the radical development plan may help China alleviate the Trump administration’s concerns about China’s subsidies to companies and the infringement of US intellectual property rights.
However, foreign media quoted insiders’ speculation that the White House did not believe that China would easily modify the plan in essence, and was probably just re-drawing the name instead of changing the medicine.
    From the standpoint of China, we must first confirm a basic cognition: If the change from "Made in China 2025" to "Made in China 2025+2035" does not mean retreat for the sake of the trade war, it should be due to rational development guidelines.
   What is the core content of "Made in China 2025"? Adhere to the basic policy of "innovation-driven, quality first, green development, structural optimization, and talent-oriented", adhere to "market-led, government-guided, current and long-term, overall advancement, key breakthroughs, independent development, open coatings.
hc360.
com/list/jswx_hzzr.
shtml" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(60, 165, 246); text-decoration: underline; border-bottom: 1px dotted rgb(15, 119, 244); font-family: , SimSun; font-size: 18px;">cooperation and cooperation " To achieve the strategic goal of a manufacturing power through the “three steps”: the first step is to become a manufacturing power by 2025; the second step is to reach the middle level of the world’s manufacturing power by 2035 as a whole; Three steps, when New China was founded 100 years ago, its comprehensive strength will be in the forefront of the world's manufacturing powers.
   This means that 2035 was originally the second step in the "Made in China 2025" plan.
Among the goals of the major segments, the distribution of nodes is bound to be distributed from 2015 to 2049, and the interval from 2025 to 2035 is more important as a "mid-term goal".
If the targets in some detailed areas are adjusted later, or the 2035 targets are singled out and emphasized, in order to reduce the impression of oppression caused by the United States, it is fully in line with China's demand for "stability and speed.
"    "Made in China 2025" has been a grand plan covering the period from 2015 to 2050 since its inception, and 2035 is naturally included as an important node.
No matter what adjustments will appear in the future, the core goal is not to waver at all.
Cars: slow down, but also need to speed up.
Cars: slow down and also need to speed up    .
Judging from the objective, neutral, and not discouraged starting point, China's manufacturing industry is in a special state, with favorable and unfavorable conditions coexisting.
   In terms of advantages: First in volume, the output value of the manufacturing industry in 2017 reached 2.
6 times the United States; the coverage is the most complete.
Today, China’s manufacturing industry covers 24 industry groups, 71 industries and industries involved in the manufacturing industry in the international standard industry.
137 sub-sectors have become one of the countries with the most complete manufacturing system in the world; progress is rapid, and even export -oriented products have changed from low-tech products such as light industrial products such as "socks" that Chinese people laughed at in the early years to products with technical content such as electromechanical products.
.
.
   unfavorable The shortcomings are also very obvious: many basic disciplines are not developed enough, high-precision applications are still lagging behind advanced countries, education and talent training systems, manufacturing experience accumulation and standard systems are all far behind Zhuqiang.
   In "Frankfurt at Night, Dawn in China", the author once used this analogy: Western developed countries such as Europe, America and Japan slowly descended from the 9th floor to the 7th floor, while China climbed from the 3rd floor to the 5th floor.
In terms of advanced nature, there are still some shortcomings, but the momentum is better than competitors.
      Not fortunately, the passenger car industry is likened to the crown jewel in the manufacturing industry, but it happens to be the relatively low-ranking one in China's manufacturing industry.
If you compare horizontally, China Aerospace is already developing LEO low-orbit load 100-ton heavy-duty rocket Long March 9, military ballistic missiles and technologies such as scramjet engines are among the top three in the world; the aviation industry makes China the second stealth fighter.
In many countries, self-developed military and civilian large aircraft have been put into use; whether it is the world’s top three civil ship manufacturing capabilities (China, Japan and South Korea) in the shipbuilding industry, it is still the first to come up with a 10,000-ton-class dual-band active phased array fire control radar Destroyer 055, has confirmed the leading strength.
   Even in neighboring industries such as heavy commercial vehicles and construction machinery, China is in a relatively good position.
What about passenger cars? It is a pity that even the entire vehicle platform and powertrain, Chinese independent car companies can meet the purely positive development requirements are very few.
Many vehicle platform architectures that claim to be being developed are just copying Japanese and Korean platforms and getting them through.
Not only does Changan, Great Wall and other autonomous front-runners have no real positive platform, even Geely's CMA, BMA and other architectures are still FE old platforms plus refactored electrical architectures-even so, this is already It is second only to Chery's strongest independent passenger vehicle platform research and development capabilities, not to mention other independent brands that are weaker than the aforementioned auto companies.
   The powertrain is also similar.
Although most of the years of relying on Mitsubishi 4G series have passed, most of the engines of Chinese independent car companies are still "semi-reverse" foreign brand engines, such as Volkswagen's second-generation EA888.
While the sales share is high, the weakness of the overall technical strength limits the resistance of autonomous car companies to stand firm in the cold market.
   Given the possible adjustment of "Made in China 2025", how should the auto industry follow the macro trend? Fast is slow, slow is fast, goals are slowed down, progress is accelerated, and the unification of fast and slow will become the development thinking in the automotive field.
   In the early years of China, it was predicted that China will sell more than 40 million fuel vehicles annually in the future.
This misjudgment has become one of the important reasons for the serious overcapacity today.
China has also hoped that electric vehicles will "overtake on a curve".
In 2009, the "Automotive Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan" proposed to form a production capacity of 500,000 new energy vehicles within three years.
Although the growth rate of new energy is now astonishing, in 2012 The old goal has been bounced.
   "Haste is not achieved", this is an eternal philosophy.
Any performance gain is inseparable from the deepening of the foundation.
Take Toyota, one of the most powerful car companies in the world, as an example.
After encountering the "tens of millions of vehicles" and "pedal door", Toyota slowed down the pace of expansion.
It did not expand production capacity globally for four consecutive years, and at the same time secretly Efforts to build TNGA Fengchao architecture.
The meaning of the new structure goes beyond the ordinary vehicle platform, and runs through every link of the company's system, research and development, and manufacturing.
As a result, we can see that the eighth-generation Camry, C-HR/Yize and other new cars are now vigorous, advancing triumphantly in the ice-blocked market conditions in China, the United States and other markets, conquering Toyota.
   In the same way, Volkswagen, General Motors and other giants are also shrinking and slowing down appropriately.
The former announced that it will reduce the product lineup of fuel vehicles, while the latter has abandoned its European business.
However, while slowing down on the one hand, on the other hand, it has not slackened at all.
Volkswagen has made every effort to build a new energy system.
After GM acquired Cruise, it aspired on the Navigant Research autopilot strength list.
   For Chinese car companies, it is not only necessary to catch up with the gap in platform architecture, powertrain and manufacturing technology in the field of fuel vehicles, but also need to accelerate the pace of advancement in new routes of technologies such as intelligent network connection and new energy.
The battlefield in the era of smart electric vehicles lays a solid foundation.
   The core goal of "Made in China 2025" will remain the same.
As the passenger car industry, which is a key area and temporary shortcoming that can leverage a large number of upstream and downstream industries, it must surpass other branches to contribute to the macro planning.
Part of the force.
   For the century-old automobile industry, we unfortunately lag behind the pace of the world in the last round.
However, with the rise of the entire Chinese manufacturing industry, China's auto industry is bound to transform from being initially "driven" to the strongest booster, thus standing in the world's auto industry.