What does the EU Parliament mean by the "ban on the use of meat and bone meal"?

OA_show('918'); Liu ronghua PAB, on December 6, 2000, through nearly three months of bargaining, the 16 countries of the European Union (EU-15 plus the newly joined Federal Republic of Yugoslavia) basically passed a comprehensive ban on the use of animal meat and bone meal as feed additives in the European community, and slaughtered all the existing 2.2 million cattle over 18 months, except for the use of fat for disinfection, the rest were destroyed According to this estimate: farmers and farmers in the 16 countries of the European community will lose 2 billion US dollars In order to compensate for the loss, the European community will compensate about 1.2 billion US dollars for the loss to farmers, so as to completely eliminate the cause of "mad cow disease" in Europe The only difference is that Germany, the Minister of agriculture of Germany, said: to kill 2.2 million beef cattle that have been used for more than 18 months, they should be completely destroyed, instead of leaving the fat (muscle) of the cattle to be disinfected and used again, so as to avoid future troubles However, it was opposed by the countries headed by France and the UK, because the UK and France are the largest beef cattle producing countries, and the natural "meat and bone meal" quantity is the largest The bargaining between Germany and the UK, France will inevitably have a quarrel, because of their respective interests! Now let's go back to the analysis: in January 2001, the proposal will be implemented in 16 countries across the EU, and the use of meat and bone meal has been banned, which means: PAB PAB 1 In the future, about 3 million tons of meat and bone meal will be replaced by soybean meal, rapeseed meal and fish meal every year in the 16 countries of the European Union The replacement amount of soybean meal should be more than 60% Then the European Union will import 1.6 million tons of soybean meal every year as an auxiliary to fill the gap Therefore, the EU will increase the production cost of feed manufacturers by US $750 million per year Farmers and farmers in 16 European Union countries will lose more than 2 billion US dollars of direct economic benefits every year because they do not raise beef noodles Although EU subsidies for one year in 2001, the subsequent losses are long-term From the above three points of comprehensive analysis: we believe that the international soybean and soybean meal will drive the international soybean meal price to rise due to the total ban on the use of meat and bone meal by the 16 EU countries from January next year Although the required 3 million tons of soybean meal only accounts for about 2.65% of the total global production, its psychological and expected boosting effect will be long-term and direct Therefore, in the near future, with the rise of international soybean meal, soybean prices will soar, which is confirmed by the current round of rising soybean prices The recent strong performance of CBOT soybean meal and soybean in the United States is enough to prove this paB paB     However, we should see that the futures market is a market with price discovery and lead The current price surge has overdrawn most of the future rise of international soybean meal price - that is, from the previous low of $146 / short ton (around July 12, 2000) to the current high of $190 / short ton, which has fully increased by $42 / short ton, with an increase of about 29% With the rise of international price: 1 In 2001, feed producers and suppliers in 16 EU countries will face the rising soybean meal price, increasing the purchase cost by 30% and the loss cost by 20% 2 In addition, as the operating cost of feed producers and distributors increases by about 50%, the owners and farmers who use feed will increase the use cost of feed by more than 50% When the international meat price does not rise significantly, the feed price of commercial enterprises will be out of line with the meat price The owners and farmers of feed farms may bear such a huge price deficit, and the result is undoubtedly a loss ! 3 All consumers in the 16 countries of the European Union will face the result that the price of meat will rise too high due to the increase of feed cost At that time, the majority of consumers will be unable to bear the outrageous price of meat and put forward consumption protest paB paB     Therefore, it can be inferred that the passage of the EU 16 bill banning the use of meat and bone meal in January 2001 will have a chain reaction on the whole European community, and even the global bean and meat consumption market In the early stage, it may drive the international bean price to rise sharply as a favorable subject, and in the later stage, because of the rising production, circulation and high consumption cost, the meat users will reduce consumption and restrain Consumption eventually leads to insufficient demand for bean products, which leads to continuous drop in spot and futures prices of beans paB paB     Therefore, the 16 countries of the European Union recently passed a bill banning the use of meat and bone meal to curb the global mad cow disease in January next year For the international soybean meal and soybean period in the near future and in the future, the change of spot price is a "double-edged sword", which can not only stimulate the price of beans to rise, but also inhibit the price of beans to grow in turn As the local EU is expected to expand the area of soybean cultivation next year The development of soybean products and protein sources will expand production and supply in the world, and the short-term shortage will be greatly alleviated The international soybean meal and soybean prices will fluctuate according to their own price rules, and will eventually return to the rational price region PAB (author:)