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Shooting dry is one of the star varieties in the Chinese herbal medicine market in the past two years, and the price of Hebei Tong has risen from 29 yuan (kg price, the same below) in January 2021 to 55 yuan in December 2021, and after October 2022, its price has exceeded 100 yuan
.
Is the product going up or down after the market?
.
Is the product going up or down after the market?
In this issue, the big data platform of Tiandi Cloud Map Chinese medicine industry analyzes the market of this variety based on production and sales data
.
.
First, the situation of shooting dry market and production area
Bozhou market: With the consumption of market inventory, the dry inventory began to be tight, and the holders were reluctant to sell, resulting in a steady rise in the market, with the market asking price between 100-105 yuan and the shouting price of drinking pieces between 120-125 yuan
.
.
Lotus pond market: the market rose rapidly in the early stage, and now it has entered the actual digestion stage, the market source is moving generally, the price is running firmly, and the market shoots dry films around 125 yuan
.
The high market makes merchants cautious in purchasing, and holders make a lot of
profits.
.
The high market makes merchants cautious in purchasing, and holders make a lot of
profits.
Yulin market: Recently, the source of dry goods in small batches is smooth, because the market inventory is not large, the merchant attention is high, the market is running at a high level recently, the market is generally around 100 yuan, the asking price of the unified film is about 120 yuan, and the merchants pay close attention to the consumption of
market inventory.
market inventory.
According to the distributor of Guizhou injection dry production area, the local injection dry production is not large, the source of goods in the production area is not much, the market continues to rise, the local film market is about 130 yuan, moving faster, the overall inventory is small
.
.
Second, the price broke through the all-time high
Chart: 2017-2022 Shot Dry Market Price Chart
In 2013, due to heavy rain in the production area, the yield of shoot-dry production fell seriously, and the price reached a record high of 80 yuan against the background of
less inventory.
In the spring of 2014, seedling sales continued to flow, and the consequences of the continuous expansion of the previous two years also broke out in 2014, and the shooting dry market fell by more than half, and the price fell below
30 yuan.
Due to the large scale of development of the shoot dry by-production areas in the south, its price fluctuated
between 28 and 35 yuan from 2015 to 2019.
less inventory.
In the spring of 2014, seedling sales continued to flow, and the consequences of the continuous expansion of the previous two years also broke out in 2014, and the shooting dry market fell by more than half, and the price fell below
30 yuan.
Due to the large scale of development of the shoot dry by-production areas in the south, its price fluctuated
between 28 and 35 yuan from 2015 to 2019.
From 2019 to 2020, the market of Hebei Shooting Dry Unified Film showed a bottom consolidation pattern, and it has been fluctuating
in the price range of 29-32 yuan.
After that, with the decrease in production and the increase in merchants' attention, the price of shooting dry began to rise in June 2021, rising to 60 yuan in January 2022, reaching 80 yuan in August 2022, and breaking through the all-time high of
120 yuan in October 2022.
in the price range of 29-32 yuan.
After that, with the decrease in production and the increase in merchants' attention, the price of shooting dry began to rise in June 2021, rising to 60 yuan in January 2022, reaching 80 yuan in August 2022, and breaking through the all-time high of
120 yuan in October 2022.
Third, production has shrunk
The planting cycle of shooting dry is 2-3 years, it takes 3 years for seed live planting, and it takes 1-2 years for seedlings to be planted backwards
.
.
Anguo, Hebei is a traditional Dao real estate area of Shegan, with large and good color, mostly for the demand for drinking pieces, and is distributed
in various townships in Anguo.
In recent years, due to good benefits, the surrounding counties and cities such as Shenze, Dingzhou and Xinle have also introduced seeds, but due to the scattered distribution, the overall scale is not large
.
in various townships in Anguo.
In recent years, due to good benefits, the surrounding counties and cities such as Shenze, Dingzhou and Xinle have also introduced seeds, but due to the scattered distribution, the overall scale is not large
.
Hunan Lianqiao used to be an important production area for shooting drying, in the past, due to the processing method, the quality was poor, in recent years the processing technology has improved, but the piece is small, the quality is not as good as Anguo products, more low-end demand and pharmaceutical factories
.
.
In addition, shooting dry is also planted in Shanxi, Hubei, Guizhou and other places, in previous years, the low price caused the planting area to decline, last year the market began to rise, planting area began to increase
significantly.
significantly.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of Tiandi Yuntu Chinese medicine industry, the output of injection drying in 2020 is about 3494 tons, and the output in 2021 is about
3210 tons.
3210 tons.
Fourth, the dosage increases
Shot dry used to belong to small and medium-sized varieties, the overall sales volume is not large, the annual sales volume is about
800-1000 tons.
However, because the injection dry has the effect of clearing heat and detoxification, expectorant and pharyngeal, in recent years, studies have found that its extract also has anti-inflammatory, inhibition of dermatophytes and other effects, making the demand increasing
.
According to the merchants, businesses that used to operate 3-4 tons of goods in the market can now operate 30-40 tons per year
.
800-1000 tons.
However, because the injection dry has the effect of clearing heat and detoxification, expectorant and pharyngeal, in recent years, studies have found that its extract also has anti-inflammatory, inhibition of dermatophytes and other effects, making the demand increasing
.
According to the merchants, businesses that used to operate 3-4 tons of goods in the market can now operate 30-40 tons per year
.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of the traditional Chinese medicine industry of Tiandi Yuntu, the dosage of injection drying in 2020 was about 2,180 tons, and the dosage in 2021 was about
2,415 tons.
2,415 tons.
5.
Analysis of main demand products and enterprises
Analysis of main demand products and enterprises
In terms of demand for proprietary Chinese medicines, through the screening of 7,702 proprietary Chinese medicines monitored by the platform, 59 proprietary Chinese medicines currently on the market contain shot drying, and the top Chinese proprietary medicines are pediatric pharyngeal flat granules, pharyngitis lozenges, and Kexili oral liquid
.
.
The top proprietary Chinese medicine enterprises with high demand for injection drying are Heilongjiang Longgui Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, China Resources Sanjiu (Huangshi) Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, Ningxia Golden Sun Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, etc
.
, Ltd.
, China Resources Sanjiu (Huangshi) Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, Ningxia Golden Sun Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, etc
.
6.
Prediction of the future market
Prediction of the future market
1.
If the market exceeds 60 yuan, farmers have the willingness to plant The yield of Hebei Anguo's 3-year-old shot dry mu is 120-170 kg, and the cost of seedling planting per mu is about
2000 yuan.
According to the price of about 60 yuan, the gross income per mu is more than 7,000 yuan, and the average net profit per mu per year is about 1,700 yuan, which is basically the same
as the overall income from planting food crops, such as corn and wheat.
At present, the price of shooting dry is more than 100 yuan, and farmers' willingness to plant has been greatly strengthened
.
If the market exceeds 60 yuan, farmers have the willingness to plant The yield of Hebei Anguo's 3-year-old shot dry mu is 120-170 kg, and the cost of seedling planting per mu is about
2000 yuan.
According to the price of about 60 yuan, the gross income per mu is more than 7,000 yuan, and the average net profit per mu per year is about 1,700 yuan, which is basically the same
as the overall income from planting food crops, such as corn and wheat.
At present, the price of shooting dry is more than 100 yuan, and farmers' willingness to plant has been greatly strengthened
.
2.
There are still inventories in the origin and market According to the statistics of the big data platform of the traditional Chinese medicine industry of Tiandi Yuntu, the output of injection drying in 2020 is still much greater than the demand, and the demand will increase in 2021, but the actual inventory has not been fully digested, and the reason for the current price increase is mainly due to years of low prices, and the market is generally optimistic about the reluctance of suppliers in the aftermarket to sell, coupled with the continuous reduction in production in
the past two years.
There are still inventories in the origin and market According to the statistics of the big data platform of the traditional Chinese medicine industry of Tiandi Yuntu, the output of injection drying in 2020 is still much greater than the demand, and the demand will increase in 2021, but the actual inventory has not been fully digested, and the reason for the current price increase is mainly due to years of low prices, and the market is generally optimistic about the reluctance of suppliers in the aftermarket to sell, coupled with the continuous reduction in production in
the past two years.
To sum up, shot dry belongs to the medium and long-term varieties, the market began to rise from last year, the current price breaks through the historical high, if the inventory digestion is good, coupled with 2021, 2022 production are low, the source of goods is concentrated in the hands of large households, the high price market will continue for 1-2 years
.
.
