The rising trend of soybean oil market is hard to restrain in the short term

Introduction: new page 1 Since the middle of August, China's soybean oil market has almost run out of soybeans in Northeast China With the slow speed of soybean import and the high price in the international market, the shortage of soybean supply in the domestic market has become more and more serious, and the psychological pressure of oil plants has become more and more intense This situation has further strained the supply of soybean oil market in the early stage, which has set off a comprehensive and continuous nationwide soybean oil market A wave of rising prices By the beginning of this week, the market prices of secondary soybean oil in Northeast China, Beijing Tianjin, Hebei, Shandong, Henan, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and other places had a large increase compared with last week's soybean oil prices, which can also be said to be soaring or soaring At present, the specific situation of China's secondary soybean oil and salad oil market is as follows: ZRZ At the beginning of this week (August 18), the price of Heilongjiang secondary soybean oil was 5600-5700 yuan / ton, 100-200 yuan / ton higher than 5500 yuan / ton at the beginning of last week, and the price of Yian Huanghuai oil company was the highest in Heilongjiang, reaching 5800-5900 yuan / ton; Jilin 5660-5700 yuan / ton, 160-200 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of last week; Liaoning 5600-5680 yuan / ton, 100-160 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of last week RMB / ton; 5500-5600 yuan / ton in Hebei, up about 300 yuan / ton from the beginning of last week; 5700 yuan / ton in Tianjin and Beijing, up 260-300 yuan / ton from the beginning of last week; 5700 yuan / ton in Shandong, up 400-500 yuan / ton from the beginning of last week, which is the largest increase in the whole country (the above data mainly comes from China soybean net) The market situation of salad oil is the same as that of soybean oil market The prices in Heilongjiang and Liaoning are 5900 yuan / ton, increasing by 200-300 yuan / ton The prices in Shandong have increased from 5580-5600 yuan / ton at the beginning of last week to 5900-6000 yuan / ton, increasing by 320-400 yuan / ton The prices in Tianjin and Beijing are 5900-6000 yuan / ton, increasing by 300-400 yuan / ton The prices in Guangdong are also 5900-6000 yuan / ton It has reached about 5800 yuan / ton, and the price of salad oil in Jiangsu and Zhejiang has also reached 5900 yuan / ton, with an increase of about 400 yuan / ton Driven by the high price of soybean oil, the price of rapeseed oil in the southern region of China has also increased significantly under the situation of reduced production and insufficient supply of rapeseed At present, the price has also reached a high level, which is basically the same as that of soybean oil At present, the price of secondary rapeseed oil in Zhangjiagang, Jiangsu Province is 5650 yuan / ton, and the price of bulk rapeseed salad oil is 5950 yuan / ton; the price of secondary rapeseed oil in central Anhui Province is 5500 yuan / ton, and the price of salad oil is 5700-5800 yuan / ton; the price of double low rapeseed oil in Hubei Province is 5600 yuan / ton, and the price of double low salad oil is about 5940 yuan / ton Analysis of the situation in the later period of ZRZ at present, in order to meet the arrival of the Mid Autumn Festival, mooncakes have been listed in various places In order to process more mooncakes before the Mid Autumn Festival in September, China's processing plants are actively purchasing edible oil, and there will be a peak of soybean oil consumption in late August and September However, the high price of international soybean and soybean oil makes importers a little intimidated when they order imported soybean and soybean oil when they are about to go on the market in large quantities in more than one month Even if the order is cautious, the quantity will not be too large, and the time to reach the port of our country will be at the end of September At that time, China's soybeans began to be listed one after another It is unknown whether there will be a decline in the market price, which will not restrain the recent soybean oil market price in our country At present, the C & F price of South American soybean oil from ZRZ to China has risen to 520-525 US dollars per ton, and it has reached 470-475 US dollars by the end of July Based on the situation of international soybean oil market, the wholesale price of crude soybean oil imported from Hebei and Beijing Tianjin has increased from 5360 yuan / ton to 5500-5600 yuan / ton Although it is said that in order to meet the huge demand for edible oil in the Chinese market, China's soybean oil orders are accelerating, and the resale of Chinese soybean oil contracts has stopped But so far, no imported soybean oil has arrived at the port of our country At the same time, the market is also actively seeking, as a cheap alternative to soybean oil and rapeseed oil, palm oil is also widely used in the food industry To sum up, it is not difficult to see that the soybean oil market and even the whole edible oil market in China will rise in the future The tense situation of soybean oil is difficult to change for a while, and the price of soybean oil is expected to stand at a high point of 6000 yuan / ton, even in the early stage of soybean harvest ZRZ