The price of ginger declines obviously, and it is still at risk next year

Ginger is not only an indispensable condiment, but also a commonly used bulk medicine Last year, the price of ginger soared all the way to the highest level in the history of the national average price of 14 yuan / kg, and the price of medicinal dried ginger also exceeded the peak of 50 yuan / kg At present, it's time for new ginger to go on the market, so it's natural that the price of ginger will fall, but the recent decline rate is obviously beyond people's expectation Some ginger's main producing areas will fall by more than 90%, and the purchasing price of producing areas will even fall below the low point of 1 yuan per kilogram In fact, since this spring, the price of ginger has been on a downward trend At present, the retail price of fresh ginger market is mostly maintained at 3-4 yuan / kg The expansion of planting area last year's ginger price skyrocketed, which made Jiang Nong gain a lot, thus promoting the new Jiang Nong to join in Because of the blind expansion of planting area, the total output of ginger this year has increased significantly The current collapse of ginger price is exactly the reflection of the change of supply-demand relationship in the market It is understood that the planting area of ginger in Henan, Shandong, Hubei, Hunan and other major production areas has increased this year, with the expected output reaching more than 6.8 million tons As the new ginger is harvested and put on the market, the price will inevitably decline The sales volume has decreased Because the price of ginger was at a rare high last year, to a certain extent, consumption has been restrained, and the inventory digested slowly all over the country, the storage volume of new ginger before its listing this year is still very large In addition, since last year, China has restricted the export volume of ginger to the United States, and the export volume has been reduced by nearly 30% Due to the decrease of sales volume in the terminal market, slow inventory digestion and abundant inventory, the supply of ginger market exceeds the demand, which lays a foundation for the price drop In recent years, the price of ginger in the domestic market has been relatively stable compared with other agricultural products, but since the beginning of last year, the market has risen rapidly and reached a peak in August and September But this is not caused by production reduction, but by vicious speculation and deliberate hoarding In order to restrain the high price ginger, the state has strengthened the supervision of the agricultural product market, strictly stopped the vicious speculation and hoarding behavior, and speculators have withdrawn the hot money, which has played a positive role in stabilizing the ginger market and promoting the rational return of price According to the trend of ginger Market in the future, the insiders believe that since the price of ginger in the previous year was at a high level, consumption was restrained to a large extent, and there was a certain degree of shrinkage in the processing, export and retail markets, so there is little room for the market to rise again According to experience, the price of ginger is likely to rise in a wave driven by Festival demand before the Spring Festival every year However, due to the current low price of ginger, even if the market goes up again, Jiang Nong, who blindly produces in clusters, may not be able to avoid the fate of loss It is expected that the overall performance of ginger market next year will still be sufficient in supply, stable in demand and relatively low in price Therefore, according to the cycle analysis, ginger planting in 2012 is still in the same risk period as this year, so Jiang Nong should think twice.