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As a commonly used variety of bulk Chinese medicinal materials, the market of rhubarb in recent years can be described as rising, attracting widespread attention in the industry.
In this issue, the big data platform of Tiandi Cloud Atlas Traditional Chinese Medicine Industry analyzes the market of this variety based on production and marketing data
.
First, the market and production area movement
Market conditions: market attention has weakened, the source of goods is mainly based on actual demand, because of the abundant inventory for sale, many merchants actively sell, the market is running smoothly, the current market raw dried horseshoe rhubarb price 17-19 yuan (kilogram price, the same below), kang dried horseshoe rhubarb price 25-28 yuan, high-quality kang dried horseshoe rhubarb price 28-30 yuan
.
Origin market: Near the end of the year, the production area transaction is basically over, due to the lack of attention, the source of goods sales has slowed down significantly, because the inventory for sale is abundant, the willingness of merchants to sell has been significantly enhanced
.
At present, the price of Sichuan raw horseshoe rhubarb is 13.
5-14.
5 yuan, the price of Hubei raw horseshoe rhubarb is 14-16 yuan, the price of Shaanxi raw horseshoe rhubarb is 15-17 yuan, and the price of Gansu Kang Gan two-year raw horseshoe rhubarb is 20-25 yuan
。
Second, the historical market
Figure 1: Rhubarb market price trend from 2000 to 2022
From the perspective of market changes, in recent years, affected by the rise in labor costs and material costs, the price of rhubarb is also in the upward stage, and the market performance can be divided into three stages:
The first stage (2000-2009): the wild rhubarb supply market is the mainstay, and the social demand is dynamically balanced
.
During this period, wild rhubarb resources in Gansu, Qinghai and other northwest regions were widely distributed, due to limited social demand, market supply was in a relatively balanced state, the market was mainly affected by market demand, the lowest price was 3.
4 yuan, the highest was 10.
5 yuan, and the price difference was more than
2 times.
The second stage (2010-2016): Gansu real estate varieties rejuvenated, and the social demand for rhubarb increased significantly
.
After entering 2007, rhubarb because of its unique effects, so that the social demand rose rapidly, with the widening gap of rhubarb wild resources, rhubarb ushered in a historical sky-high price, and various production areas have joined the work
of wild mutants.
In 2016, the rhubarb family successfully planted and ushered in a bumper harvest, and the market fell
back.
During this period, the price of rhubarb was as low as 10 yuan and as high as 21 yuan, and the price difference was more than
1 times.
The third stage (2017-2022): Due to the low difficulty of planting and high transaction price, it has become a popular poverty alleviation variety
.
Since 2016, the state has vigorously promoted rural poverty alleviation, and rhubarb has become one of the key recommended varieties for poverty alleviation projects because of its characteristics of
easy planting, easy management and high income.
Due to the needs of the project, about 30% of the raw materials of Chinese medicinal materials originally used for commercial circulation were retained for seedlings and cultivation
.
Because rhubarb takes 3-4 years from planting to harvesting, its social demand has increased significantly in recent years, while the circulation has decreased significantly, the contradiction between supply and demand is prominent, and the rhubarb market continues to operate
at a high level.
As local rhubarb gradually ushered in the harvest period, the contradiction between supply and demand reversed
.
During this period, the price of rhubarb was as low as 18 yuan and as high as 28 yuan, with a fluctuation range of 55.
56%.
Third, the distribution of production areas
Figure 2: Distribution of rhubarb producing areas in China
From the distribution of production areas: rhubarb is widely distributed in China, wild and domestic species, mainly distributed in Qinghai, Sichuan, Shaanxi, Gansu, Yunnan, Tibet, Ningxia, Guizhou, Hubei and other provinces/autonomous regions
。
Rhubarb is mainly produced in Qinghai Dari, Banma, Jiuzhi, Maqin, Gande, Nangqian, Yushu, Shenduo, Qumalai, Zaduo, Zhiduo, Guide, Tongde, Xinghai, Gonghe, Henan, Ledu, Xunhua, Dulan; Gansu Lixian, Dongchang, Huating, Tianzhu, Zhouqu, Diebu, Zhuoni, Zhuanglang; Jingyuan, Lund, Ningxia; Sichuan Heishui, Langtang, Lixian, Aba, Maowen, Jinchuan, Songpan, Ruoergai, Xiaojin, Nanping, Malkang, Wenchuan, Hongyuan, Baoxing, Hanyuan, Lushan, Kangding, Jiulong, Danba, Batang, Daocheng, Daofu, Yajiang, Luding, Luhuo, Litang, Shiqu; Tibet for example, Suo County, Baqing, Jiangda, and Wuqi; Shaanxi Longxian, Liuba, Chenggu, Zhenba, Mian County
.
4.
Poverty alleviation production areas
Figure 3: Distribution of rhubarb poverty alleviation production areas in China
From the perspective of poverty alleviation production areas: with the main production areas as the center, it has spread
rapidly to surrounding provinces.
Domestic rhubarb production is dominated by Gansu Province, accounting for 70%-80%
of the country's total output.
With the steady growth of rhubarb planting benefits in recent years, key provinces for poverty alleviation represented by Sichuan Province have begun to vigorously develop planting, followed by Qinghai, Yunnan, Guizhou, Hubei, Shanxi, Shaanxi and other provinces
.
5.
Income and expenditure per mu production
Figure 4: Rhubarb mu production income and expenditure from 2019 to 2022 (Note: calculated by land planting)
From the perspective of expenditure per mu: production costs have been relatively stable for three consecutive years, and input costs are in a controllable range
.
Since 2019, the main costs of rhubarb production have been in the cost of seedlings, land lease, labor and materials, except for the cost of seedlings, which is easily affected by external factors, and the rest of the expenditure costs are relatively stable
.
In the past 4 years, the cost of one production cycle of rhubarb fluctuated around 4500 yuan / mu, and the overall investment was within a controllable range
.
From the perspective of mu production income: high planting income, which is more attractive
to farmers.
Since 2010, the yield of rhubarb mu has increased year by year, and the mu production income in 2019 has exceeded 10,000 yuan / mu
.
In the past 4 years, due to the increase in seedlings, labor and material costs, the mu production income has declined, but the mu income of one production cycle (calculated for 3 years of a production cycle) has also remained at 12155-12623 yuan / mu, and the average annual income is still maintained at around 4000 yuan / mu
.
Compared with other cash crops, due to its characteristics of easy production, easy management and high income, the enthusiasm of growers in the production area is still undiminished
.
6.
Changes in demand
The normal annual demand for rhubarb is about
12,000 tons.
With the deepening of the application research of rhubarb, the channels and uses involved have been continuously expanded
.
At present, in addition to traditional medicinal channels, it also involves health care product channels, feed, beverages, alcohol, chemical and other channels
.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of Tiandi Yuntu traditional Chinese medicine industry, the national rhubarb consumption in 2020 was about 12765.
46 tons, and the amount of rhubarb in 2021 was about 13010.
63 tons
.
Among them, from the monitoring of proprietary Chinese medicine data currently in circulation, there are 789 kinds of proprietary Chinese medicines containing rhubarb in the ingredients, accounting for 10.
24% of the 7702 proprietary Chinese medicines monitored by the platform, such as bezoar Shangqing Pill, Bezoar Detoxification Pill, Baichuan Pill, Qingning Pill, Huanglian Stomach Clearing Pill, etc
.
7.
Future market forecast
In the past 10 years, rhubarb production has been continuously spread outward from the main producing areas, and with the support of poverty alleviation projects for many years, rhubarb production will remain at a high level
for a long time.
On the one hand, although the yield capacity of rhubarb has decreased in the past two years due to the impact of La Niña phenomenon, under the huge planting area, the impact on the total output is small; On the other hand, the impact of the new crown epidemic on rhubarb demand is limited
.
Therefore, our platform believes that with the continuous emergence of local production capacity, the price increase momentum of rhubarb may be eased to a certain extent, but it will still be in an upward channel, and the key to the increase depends on the development of the epidemic and the intensity of
financial attention.
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