The influence of terrorist events in the United States on the trend of soybean

Introduction: on the morning of September 11, us time, the capital and economic center of the United States were hit by terrorist attacks The whole country was in a state of panic The financial market was completely closed We don't know whether there is any follow-up action or what the next goal is As a result, major stock markets outside the United States fell sharply, while crude oil, gold and copper all rose sharply However, we note that the above strategic materials closed with an extremely long shadow line on the same day It shows that everyone's expectation of the war in the later period is very small, specifically to soybeans, the author's views are as follows First, the event is only a terrorist event, and it is more likely that the planner is a terrorist organization than a country, and the possibility of war in the later stage is very small Second, the incident is aimed at the national policy of the United States After the incident, the United States is in a state of emergency, and it is less likely that similar incidents will happen again in a short period of time Third, soybeans are not strategic goods Fourth, due to the unsafe investment environment of the country and the closure of the financial market, it is expected that some funds will withdraw from the United States and the dollar may weaken Fifthly, after the incident, the export trade of U.S soybeans may come to a standstill in a short period of time If there is no follow-up terrorist incident, the export of soybeans is expected to resume in a week or so But there may also be a short pause in domestic crushing in the US Sixth, this event has made the U.S economy into recession even worse To sum up, this event is a support for domestic soybean prices in the short term, and investors can not chase too much If the U.S dollar weakens, it may increase U.S soybean exports, but the world economy is in recession, and soybean consumption cannot be stimulated and increased from this news, so it should be a negative for a little longer time (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: