Tent expects the Netherlands to add 34GW of solar by 2030

Dutch power transmission system operator Tennet has considered three future energy scenarios
in its 2020-30 development plan.

The most optimistic outlook is known as the system integration model, where the Netherlands is expected to deploy wind and solar power facilities much faster than expected under the climate change requirements of the Paris Agreement
.
In this scenario, by the end of 2030, solar energy is expected to reach 34 GW of installed capacity and wind energy will reach 15 GW
.

Electric vehicles and other renewable energy sources are also expected to grow significantly, with 3.
5 GW of offshore wind powering
hydrogen production.

"The additional growth in electrification and sustainable generation has created a growing need
for flexibility compared to other options," the report's authors wrote.
And, this will be provided by various market players, including large industrial consumers and small consumers
.
”

The second scenario, known as the alternative model, envisages solar and wind installations deployed below the requirements of the Paris Agreement, despite strong PV growth
by 2025.
The outlook predicts a slowdown
in solar growth due to cost reduction constraints such as phasing out net meters and household energy storage systems after 2023.
This scenario is also based on the limited growth of electric vehicles, as well as the greater role
of wind and natural gas.

The third scenario, known as the Climate Agreement Scenario, is based on a massive expansion of solar and offshore wind power, but does not mention any data
.
The outlook foresees the closure of all thermal power plants by 2030, when 1.
5 million electric vehicles will be on
Dutch roads.
The report predicts that thermoelectric technology will be advanced and heat pumps will be widely used in residential use
.

The Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency said in November that in the most optimistic scenario, the country's PV capacity could reach 36 GW
by 2030.
Even in the worst-case scenario, PV development could reach 18 GW
by 2030, the agency said.

The Dutch government revealed in November that it may have to sell or privatize a stake in state-owned enterprise Tent to raise the money needed to upgrade the electricity network of the
renewables-dominated energy system.
Energie-Nederland and lobby groups Holland Solar and NWEA also warned in November that around 700 MW of solar and wind could miss out on SDE+ large-scale renewable energy incentives if congestion in the northern Netherlands
' grid is not addressed.