Shortage of fish meal in Peru

Introduction: Peru began to try fishing for three days on October 9 The fishing results of the first two days were very disappointing Except for the normal condition of Huacho port, most of the fish ports could not catch anchovy There was a certain amount of fish in Pisco port, but the species was mackerel, which was a very small resource As the water temperature is lower than that of the same period of previous years, anchovy schools are too close to the shore According to Peruvian laws and regulations, large fishing boats within 5 nautical miles of the shore cannot be fished and fishermen cannot operate The representatives of the fishmeal producers will hold a meeting with the Minister of Fisheries tonight to discuss the date of fishing Judging from the current fish situation, there is little chance to continue fishing after the three-day trial fishing, and the official date of fishing is not expected to be earlier than October 20 On the market side, due to the unsatisfactory results of the trial, the date of lifting the ban is still unknown, and Peruvian producers are more reluctant to accept new orders Two Asian traders have been chasing suppliers to sell goods these days, with no results It is believed that suppliers will not be in the mood to negotiate new contracts until after lifting the ban, but the price will be higher than the recent transaction price At present, China's port inventory is less than 80000 tons, and there is no sign of improvement in the production of domestic fish meal From now to mid December, only one ship of fish meal will be returned to China, and the shortage of fish meal has become a fact Although Shanghai has 40000 tons of inventory, the price has started to rise, because the distributors with goods have seen that there is no new supply in China in the next few months Although the price of fish meal has increased considerably, there is still upward pressure in the future Favorable factors: 1) Peru's trial fishing results are not ideal, and the period of arrest ban will be extended 2) Peru has almost no FAQ fish meal inventory 3) in November, it is likely that there will be no cargo to be loaded after the ship arrives at the loading port, so the chamber of Commerce will raise the price to rush to buy the spot goods 4) the stock of fish meal in China is low 5) the output of domestic fish meal is very low 6) the Peruvian fish meal produced in the new season will be delivered to China later than previously expected 7) the oil price is very unstable 8) when meat and bone meal is banned in Japan, the use of fish meal will be increased Adverse factors: 1) the weather has begun to cool, and aquatic feed production in the north of the Yangtze River has stopped 2) the price of soybean meal is relatively soft, and the current price of fish meal is relatively high for livestock feed 3) the price of meat and bone meal declined.