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Global oil prices extended their decline and slipped to their lowest level since January as heightened concerns about global demand offset any impact
from the EU-dominated cap on Russian oil sales prices pushing up prices.
WTI crude oil prices fell below the $75/barrel mark; Brent crude futures fell below the $80/b psychological mark for the first time
since Jan.
6.
Eli Tesfaye, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: "In this market, people's mood is more negative
.
As things stand, we could see WTI
at $60 per barrel.
I think $80 will be the new high, and I would be very surprised
to see a higher price than that.
”
Earlier this week, U.
S.
services data showed a strong U.
S.
economy and boosted expectations
that interest rates would be higher than near-term forecasts.
Following its biggest gain in two weeks on Monday, the dollar index was lower on Tuesday, but was still boosted by bets on a rate hike
.
A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated oil more expensive for buyers holding other currencies, reducing demand
.
Markets are weighing the impact on production of the $60 per barrel price cap imposed by the G7, the European Union and Australia on Russian crude, which has led to market volatility
.
Matt Smith, Kpler's chief oil analyst, said that so far, there has been "no impact on the flow of crude oil in Russia.
"
"Russia's seaborne exports and production are not declining, and coupled with fears of further rate hikes, crude oil is being swept up in broader market risk aversion
," Smith said.
”
Russia has said it will not sell oil
to anyone who signs the price cap.
Russia's oil and gas condensate production from January to November rose 2.
2 percent from a year earlier to 488 million tonnes, according to Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Nowak, who expects a slight decline in production after the latest sanctions
.
EIA lowered its oil price forecast
The U.
S
.
Energy Information Administration (EIA) released a short-term energy outlook.
Affected by widespread risk aversion, the U.
S
.
Energy Information Administration (EIA) lowered its 2022 and 23 oil price forecasts to $101.
48 and $92.
36, respectively, compared with $102.
13 and $95.
33, respectively.
EIA expects U.
S.
oil production of 11.
87 million b/d in 2022, compared to its previous forecast of 11.
83 million b/d; U.
S.
oil production is expected to be 12.
34 million b/d in 2023, compared with the previous forecast of 12.
31 million b/d; Global oil production is expected to be 99.
98 million b/d in 2022, compared to the previous forecast of 99.
93 million b/d; Global oil production is expected to be 101.
06 million b/d in 2023, compared to the previous forecast of 100.
67 million b/d
.
In this report, EIA is more optimistic
about the US economy.
GDP is expected to grow by 1.
8% in 2022, compared with 1.
7% previously; Growth is expected to be 0.
1% in 2023, after a contraction of 0.
1%.