Pig price 15 yuan / catty, butcher enterprises but said "kill a loss" ?

Recently, there are butchers said that because of the terminal pork prices are too high, market demand is weak, white meat sales are slow, slaughterhouse start rate is very low, the start is also 'killing a (pig) loss.' CEP According to the new pig price index, as of May 5, the national average pig price of 15.93 yuan / catty, of which Heilongjiang average price is the lowest in the country, about 15 yuan / catty According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs recently monitored 500 markets nationwide, the price of pork is 25.5 yuan / jin CEP but consumers have indeed fluctuated significantly in recent months, said Zhu Zengyong, an associate researcher at the Beijing Institute of Livestock and Veterinary Medicine at the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences He said pork prices would not fall sharply this year as supply remained tight Pork prices are expected to stop falling and stabilize by mid-to-late May CEP According to the new pig price index shows that the recent national pig prices continue to show a downward trend, the national average pig price of 15.93 yuan / catty, of which the highest price of the national column is still in Guangdong (except Hainan Province), the average price reported at 17.16 yuan / catty, the lowest price in Heilongjiang, the average price is about 15 yuan / catty CEP new crown epidemic led to a decline in residents' income capacity, insufficient market consumption power, weak demand, the pig price market formed a greater impact, although the May Day holiday, the expected boost effect is not good Coupled with the rising temperature, the meat market gradually entered the seasonal consumption off-season, the recent pig prices to weak mainly On the other hand, although the price of piglets decreased from last week, but still in high-priced areas, farmers to supplement the cost of higher, out of the column weight is too large At this stage, the quality of pig source requirements for slaughter enterprises to increase, in the premise of profit compression, the short-term acquisition price is difficult to significantly improve CEP pork price 51.08 yuan / kg, the higher point dropped more than 8 yuan
CEP May 4 afternoon, reporters came to several supermarkets in Beijing Haidian District pork stalls, from time to time there are people to buy pork Asked about the fluctuations in meat prices, the public generally felt that the decline was somewhat, but not much CEP Citizen 1: It may be a bit down OK, can accept, also this price, not particularly expensive, can afford CEP Citizen 2: Since last year's rise, it's down a bit, still more expensive than last year, and it's barely acceptable CEP's perception of falling pig prices, butchers are more visible One shopkeeper said, "It's falling all the time." '51' a jin drop two dollars, before also slowly fell, can not be dropped at once Like the meat is only 29 pieces 9, the front tip 23 pieces, the back tip 24 pieces, also not expensive "
CEP According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs monitoring of the country's 500 markets, in the fifth week of April 2020, 32.62 yuan per kilogram of live pigs, down 2% month-on-month; CEP butcherenterpriseenterprises: the start rate is very low, killing a loss of a CEP in mid-February so far, pig prices continued to fall back from a high level, the Ministry of Agriculture announced the national average wholesale price of pork on February 17 reached a record high of 50.80 yuan / kg, to April 28 fell to 43.88 yuan / kg, a decline of 13.62% However, compared with 20.64 yuan/kg in the same period on April 28, 2019, meat prices are still up 112.60% year-on-year According to the latest week's data, despite the May Day holiday, the average price of pork in the country's wholesale agricultural market was 43.79 yuan per kilogram, still down about 1 percent from last week CEP behind the high meat prices is the decline in pig stock and out of the column Year-on-year change data on pig storage column released by the National Bureau of Statistics show that since the third quarter of 2017, China's pig stock has been declining for 11 consecutive quarters According to another statistics bureau, the number of pigs out of the country in 2019 was 544 million, down 21.3 percent year-on-year high CEP pig prices inhibit pork consumption, and pig stock decline pig harvest difficulties, slaughterhouse operating rate is low, raw raw pig acquisition difficulties From March to April 2020, the average operating rate of key slaughtering enterprises in China will remain hovering between 16% and 18%, according to Data CEP to this, a slaughter industry person believes: "terminal pork prices are too high, consumer population and consumption capacity is limited, market space compression caused slaughterhouse profits to shrink, market demand is weak, low-cost frozen meat and reserve meat continue to impact the fresh product market, resulting in slaughterhouse supply and demand two weak, pressure further increased." now the sale of white meat is slow, slaughterhouse spree rate is very low, the start is also 'killing a (pig) loss of a ' "
CEP demand for pork consumption decreased by more than 40%
CEP in the past few months also occurred large fluctuations in the consumer side Zhu Zengyong, an associate researcher at the Beijing Institute of Livestock and Veterinary Medicine of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, believes that the main factors influencing the current situation of pork supply and demand have shifted from pig supply to pork consumption demand The outbreak of new crown pneumonia has had an impact on pork consumption, especially catering, group consumption and processing consumption, and the current demand for pork consumption has recovered somewhat, but it is still not strong CEP" new coronapneumonia outbreak, household consumption has seen a certain degree of increase, but the food and beverage processing consumption appeared a relatively obvious decline According to our estimates, the overall demand for pork consumption fell by more than 40% in the first quarter Since March, the rate of population movement has gradually begun to recover, but consumption has recovered significantly more slowly than the flow of people According to the current Statistics of the Ministry of Commerce, the overall revenue of catering in the first quarter fell by more than 40% year-on-year compared with the same period last year In the future, the influence factor of the market price of pork and pig has shifted from the supply of commercial pigs to the recovery of pork consumption demand Zhu Zengyong said CEP In addition, since this year, China has put 17 batches of central reserve frozen pork, the cumulative delivery volume reached 330,000 tons According to the General Administration of Customs of China, China imported 951,000 tons of pork in the first quarter, an increase of 1.7 times The increase in reserves and imported meat has played a part in regulating the market The rise and fall in supply and consumption has driven the price of meat down continuously CEP but Zhu Zengyong also pointed out that after May, with the opening of schools, canteens, food and beverage consumption, pork prices are expected to stop falling and stabilize in mid-to-late May Pork prices will not fall sharply this year, even as supply remains tight CEP Although domestic pork prices are currently showing a downward trend, but the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Agriculture, animal husbandry and veterinary director Yang Zhenhai said recently, the second quarter of the domestic pig cycle may be the most difficult period, pork supply and demand also face a low production base, increased import uncertainty, consumption rebound and other three overlapping pressure Pork prices are expected to peak around September this year However, Mr Zhu said that even if the increase was limited: "By the third quarter, as consumer demand rose, pig prices will rise to a certain extent, and the supply of whole commodity pigs will increase accordingly in the third quarter." CEP therefore, even if pig prices rise to a certain extent in the third quarter, there is little room for growth, and the likelihood of a new high is very small According to the Three-Year Action Plan to Accelerate the Recovery and Development of Pig Production, by the end of 2020, it will have basically returned to near-normal levels, which refers to the pig stock Because the whole growth cycle of pigs is relatively long, from the pig storage column to restore the recovery of the supply of commercial pigs for a period of time In other words, the price of pigs and pork will be close to normal levels by the second half of 2021 "
CEP