Market analysis of feed main raw materials in the first year after China's entry into WTO

Introduction: corn market analysis at the beginning of WTO, there were many variables in corn market First of all, China's accession to the WTO will reduce tariffs The country must arrange certain quota of corn import There are four tariff levels within the quota of corn import, namely: 0%, 1%, 9%, 35% Low tariffs will stimulate corn imports In the first year after China's accession to the WTO, the country arranged a quota of 4.5 million tons with 1% low import tariff On the other hand, the state has issued the regulations on the safety management of agricultural genetically modified organisms, which will restrict the import to a certain extent and increase the import cost Although the regulations on the safety management of agricultural genetically modified organisms restrict the import of genetically modified corn in the United States to some extent, the Trade Chamber of Commerce will turn to Argentina, Brazil and other South American countries to import non genetically modified corn In the past, China has been a net exporter in the international corn trade In order to protect domestic corn production, the state will try to maintain the export advantage of corn In order to protect the domestic corn market and balance the impact of low tariff imported corn on the domestic market, it needs to be balanced by exporting corn In the future, the supply of domestic corn market will be slightly higher than the demand, and the result of China's import and export of corn is that the price will be in line with the international corn market price The above is an analysis of the development trend of the corn market From the recent situation of the corn market, the price of the corn market has been falling since July last year, and the downward trend is still very strong Analysis of soybean meal market after China's accession to WTO, the import tariff of soybean meal and soybean remains at the low level of 5% and 3% respectively, reflecting the active trading in the international market After China's accession to the WTO, China's imports of soybean and soybean meal are still favorable At present, domestic soybean meal is in the declining market, and the trend in the later period is not optimistic Although the planting area of Northeast soybean increased and the output increased compared with the previous year, the drought in the whole northeast region was more serious last year, and the quality of soybean declined, which has a great impact on the purchase price of soybean, and the price of soybean meal has been lowered again and again under the condition of low soybean price 。
Due to the serious surplus of soybean processing capacity in China, the production of soybean meal exceeds the market demand, and the oil companies compete to bargain for the sale of soybean meal, which makes the price of soybean meal drop again and again On the other hand, as the state has been encouraging the development of feed production and implementing the policy of liberalizing the operation of soybean meal, the import trade of soybean meal is not subject to any restrictions After China's accession to the WTO, private enterprises can also import soybean meal with a certain quota, and the cheap and high-quality soybean meal in the international market will flow into China In terms of trend, the soybean meal market started in July 2000, during which there were two rebounds in November 2000 and June last year So far, there is no sign of reversal in the market Before April this year, the soybean meal market may fall to about 1400 yuan / ton (Dalian port price) If the state does not have relevant policies this year, the soybean meal price may reach or even break through the historical lowest point of 1350 yuan / ton in recent years (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: