It's hard for pork prices to rise after falling for 14 weeks in a row

< br / >Data shows that in the past three months, the national pig stock has increased month on month, and the prices of pigs and pork have dropped for 14 consecutive weeksDespite the continuous and slow decline in pig prices, the profit level is still at a high levelExperts believe that the supply and demand of pork in the second quarter are also under the pressure of three factors: low production base, increasing import uncertainty and rising consumptionWith the recovery of pig production, the relationship between supply and demand will gradually improve, and the price of pork will not rise significantly in the future< br / > EPK < br / > < br / > the latest data from the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas shows that in the past three months, the number of pig stocks in China has increased month on month, the price of pig and pork has dropped for 14 consecutive weeks, and the price of pork in 30 monitoring provinces has declinedThe average wholesale price of pork in China has dropped from a high of 50 yuan per kilogram in mid February to 38 yuan per kilogram, and the average retail price of pork in China has dropped by nearly a quarter to 13 yuan per kilogram< br / > EPK < br / > < br / > after the rapid rise of pig price, there is a continuous slow fallWhat's the situation of pig breeding industry? What's the next pork market? The reporter interviewed relevant market subjects and industry experts< br / > EPK < br / > Huang Yu, a pig farmer in Jielin village, Jianyang City, Sichuan Province, owns 4 pig houses, with an annual output of more than 100 pigsHe told reporters that in a normal year, a pig earns 100 to 200 yuan, and often loses money"Since the second half of last year, as long as we can prevent and control African swine fever and raise pigs out of the market in a healthy way, we will make moneyAccording to the exit price at the peak, the net profit per kilogram is 20 yuan, and the profit per head is about 2600 yuanRecently, the price of live pigs has been falling continuously, but the profit of each pig is nearly 1300 yuan" Said topaz< br / > EPK < br / >In the industry, the ratio of pig to food (that is, the ratio of pig market price to feed price) is usually used to measure the profit and loss of pig farming Generally, the cost price of 1 jin of pork is equivalent to the price of 6 Jin of feed grain When the ratio of pig to grain is 6:1, it is at the break even point At present, the ratio of pig to grain is about 13:1, which shows that the breeding of pigs is profitable < br / > EPK < br / > < br / > according to the monitoring of the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas, since October last year, the number of sows that can be bred has risen again, and it has resumed growth for seven consecutive months, with a cumulative growth of 18.7%; the number of sows in China has also increased for three consecutive months In terms of local conditions, the number of fertile sows in 28 provinces keeps increasing At present, the number of viable sows in Sichuan, Hunan, Henan and other large traditional pig raising provinces has increased for 4 months, 5 months and 7 months respectively < br / > EPK < br / > With the order of pig production and marketing gradually returning to normal, the slaughtering enterprises resumed production in an all-round way, and the fattening pigs in the early stage were put on the market more quickly In addition, the reserve meat was put in, and the price of pigs continued to fall Up to now, 5520 pig slaughtering enterprises in China have returned to work Among them, the annual slaughter volume of 2638 enterprises is more than 20000 Recently, another 30000 tons of frozen pork were put into the central reserve, the 20th time in the year, with a total of 380000 tons < br / > EPK < br / > < br / > According to the monitoring by the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas on 160000 households of large-scale pig farms, the number of newborn piglets increased month on month for the first time in February this year, and expanded in March and April According to the calculation that newborn piglets can be put on the market after six months of fattening, this indicates that the market volume of commercial pigs will gradually increase from July < br / > EPK < br / > < br / > Guangxi Yangxiang Co., Ltd is a national agricultural leading enterprise mainly engaged in pig breeding Zhang Conglin, President of the pig breeding division of the company, told reporters that the company can breed 100000 sows all the year round After the introduction of African swine fever into China, the number of sows reduced by more than 10% With the successive introduction of national measures to support pig production and the better pig price, the enterprise not only restored the original breeding scale, but also arranged some pig farms in provinces other than Guangxi At present, the total number of sows on hand is 300000 < br / > EPK < br / > Zhang Conglin said that the policy is good, the enthusiasm of large enterprises is high, and the industry has recovered significantly In the past, it was difficult and long-term to approve the land for pig farms Now, when the materials are ready, they can be approved soon Epk recently, the national development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas jointly issued the implementation opinions on supporting private enterprises to develop pig production and related industries to solve the problems of land use and credit faced by pig breeding The document proposes to establish and improve the due diligence exemption and incentive and restraint mechanism for pig industry loans of financial institutions In addition, in novel coronavirus pneumonia, the central government has extended the interest subsidy range from over 5000 farms to more than 500, reducing the financing cost of the scale households < br / > EPK < br / > < br / > some large pig breeding enterprises choose to expand production scale New hope Liuhe Co., Ltd., a top domestic pig breeding enterprise, announced on the evening of May 19 that it would increase investment in pig breeding, plan to invest 1.834 billion yuan in 6 Pig breeding projects, acquire 2 companies with 420 million yuan to develop pig business, and its subsidiaries plan to build a joint venture company with an annual output of 1 million pigs "To ensure the development of pig business, we are well prepared in terms of personnel, land, etc." Yan Zhichun, President of the new hope Pig Breeding Research Institute, said that the number of new hope Liuhe's campus recruitment recently exceeded 5000, a record high < br / > EPK < br / > < br / > According to the three year action plan for accelerating the recovery and development of pig production, by the end of 2020, the production capacity will basically return to the annual level According to the current data and development trend, this goal is expected to be achieved < br / > EPK < br / > < br / > According to the pig early warning expert team of the Agricultural Information Institute of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, the epidemic situation in Africa is a major risk that may reverse the recovery of pig production African swine fever is expected to have a stable epidemic situation, so the breeders dare to add more farms Once the epidemic rebounds, the expected reversal will impact the confidence of the breeders < br / > EPK < br / > All localities have also strengthened the management of pig transportation vehicle filing, and it is strictly prohibited to transport pigs without filing vehicles The three departments jointly suggested that all regions should focus on county highway entrances and exits, provincial boundaries and important hubs, and organize dense pig transportation supervision network Strengthen the management of pig purchase and trafficking units and employees, strengthen dynamic control by means of information technology, and resolutely investigate and deal with the problems found < br / > EPK < br / > Judging from the supply and demand of pork throughout the year, although the production capacity of pigs has recovered positively, the pattern of tight pork supply has not been fundamentally changed " Yang Zhenhai, director of the animal husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas, believes that pork supply and demand in the second quarter are also under the pressure of three factors: low production base, increasing import uncertainty and rising consumption After July, the market supply will gradually improve, but due to more festivals in the second half of the year and stronger consumption pulling force, the peak of pork price may appear around September Generally speaking, with the recovery of pig production, the relationship between supply and demand will gradually improve, and the price of pork in the future will not rise significantly < br / > EPK < br / > < br / > Data shows that in the past three months, the national pig stock has increased month on month, and the prices of pigs and pork have dropped for 14 consecutive weeks Despite the continuous and slow decline in pig prices, the profit level is still at a high level Experts believe that the supply and demand of pork in the second quarter are also under the pressure of three factors: low production base, increasing import uncertainty and rising consumption With the recovery of pig production, the relationship between supply and demand will gradually improve, and the price of pork will not rise significantly in the future < br / > EPK < br / > < br / > the latest data from the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas shows that in the past three months, the number of pig stocks in China has increased month on month, the price of pig and pork has dropped for 14 consecutive weeks, and the price of pork in 30 monitoring provinces has declined The average wholesale price of pork in China has dropped to 38 yuan per kilogram from the peak of 50 yuan per kilogram in the middle of February; the average retail price of pork in China has dropped nearly a quarter from the peak, about 13 yuan per kilogram < br / > EPK < br / > < br / > after the rapid rise of pig price, there is a continuous slow fall What's the situation of pig breeding industry? What's the next pork market? The reporter interviewed relevant market subjects and industry experts < br / > EPK < br / > Huang Yu, a pig farmer in Jielin village, Jianyang City, Sichuan Province, owns 4 pig houses, with an annual output of more than 100 pigs He told reporters that in a normal year, a pig earns 100 to 200 yuan, and often loses money "Since the second half of last year, as long as we can prevent and control African swine fever and raise pigs out of the market in a healthy way, we will make money According to the exit price at the peak, the net profit per kilogram is 20 yuan, and the profit per head is about 2600 yuan Recently, the price of live pigs has been falling continuously, but the profit of each pig is nearly 1300 yuan " Said topaz < br / > EPK < br / > In the industry, the ratio of pig to food (that is, the ratio of pig market price to feed price) is usually used to measure the profit and loss of pig farming Generally, the cost price of 1 jin of pork is equivalent to the price of 6 Jin of feed grain When the ratio of pig to grain is 6:1, it is at the break even point At present, the ratio of pig to grain is about 13:1, which shows that the breeding of pigs is profitable < br / > EPK < br / > < br / > according to the monitoring of the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas, since October last year, the number of sows that can be bred has risen again, and it has resumed growth for seven consecutive months, with a cumulative growth of 18.7%; the number of sows in China has also increased for three consecutive months In terms of local conditions, the number of fertile sows in 28 provinces keeps increasing At present, the number of viable sows in Sichuan, Hunan, Henan and other large traditional pig raising provinces has increased for 4 months, 5 months and 7 months respectively < br / > EPK < br / > With the order of pig production and marketing gradually returning to normal, the slaughtering enterprises resumed production in an all-round way, and the fattening pigs in the early stage were put on the market more quickly In addition, the reserve meat was put in, and the price of pigs continued to fall Up to now, 5520 pig slaughtering enterprises across the country have fully resumed work his