It is estimated that there is little room for the price of corn to fall in the future

Introduction: Since the new corn was listed on the market, the domestic corn market price has been declining continuously, and the decline is large Up to now, the trading price of northeast corn market is still at a low level, but the recent decline is obviously slowing down From the price situation of domestic production and marketing areas, the prices of each production and marketing area in December, Heilongjiang: 960-980 yuan / ton, Jilin: 980-1000 yuan / ton, Inner Mongolia: 1020-1050 yuan/ Tons, Hebei: 920-1040 yuan / ton, Henan: 910-1030 yuan / ton, Shandong: 920-1060 yuan / ton, Jiangsu: 950-1080 yuan / ton, Zhejiang: 1070-1140 yuan / ton, Anhui: 940-1110 yuan / ton, Hubei: 1060-1210 yuan / ton; Heilongjiang: 930-960 yuan / ton, Jilin: 930-940 yuan / ton, Inner Mongolia: 970 yuan / ton, Hebei: 920 yuan / ton, Henan : 910-940 yuan / ton, Shandong: 920 yuan / ton, Jiangsu: 950 yuan / ton, Zhejiang: 1070 yuan / ton, Anhui: 940 yuan / ton, Hubei: 1060 yuan / ton; in addition, except for domestic inland areas, the price of domestic ports in January 2002 is still at a low price, such as the price of Dalian port in the first and middle of January is 1020-1040 yuan / ton, Shanghai port is 1020 yuan / ton, Xiamen port is 1100 yuan / ton The main reasons for the decline of corn price are as follows: 1 Domestic corn supply: in recent years, China's corn production has increased year by year, and the domestic corn inventory is sufficient According to statistics of relevant departments, in 2001, China's corn production reached the level of 115 million tons, 9 million tons more than last year's 106 million tons 2 Domestic corn consumption: at present, China's corn industrial consumption and ration consumption are relatively stable, and feed consumption accounts for nearly 70% of the total domestic corn consumption In recent years, due to the unclear and declining benefits of the breeding industry, the consumption driven by the cultivation and feed production is still not strong, and the growth of corn as feed demand also decreases III corn import and export: in the second half of 2001, due to the fierce competition in the international market for corn export, the international corn price was lower than the domestic price, so the domestic corn price has been at a low level, the export of corn has been blocked, and the export volume has declined According to the latest statistical data of the national customs, the export volume of corn in China in 2001 was 5.996 million tons, 42.9% lower than the previous year China's corn is mainly exported to South Korea, Malaysia and Japan Due to its close geographical location, China's corn export has certain advantages However, after entering the market, China will cancel the export subsidies of corn, which will undoubtedly be affected, and the export volume will also decline IV national macro policies: at present, the northeast corn continues to implement the protection price purchase policy, and continues to implement the down price sales policy in sales The decline of corn price is relatively weak The price of corn in North China and Huang Huai areas dropped out of the protection price, and the price of corn dropped out of the protection price remained at a low level, which put pressure on the price rise of corn in Northeast China In addition, at the end of 2001, due to the increase of the state's purchase of corn in Northeast China, the price of corn in Northeast China is firm In 2002, with the end of this peak, the price of corn in Northeast China will be reduced Then in the second half of 2001, the state launched the policy of selling aged grain to corn processing enterprises such as feed and alcohol The auction of aged grain will reduce the demand of feed and industrial enterprises for grain, and the lower price will have a greater impact on the market V price level of international corn market: the international corn price has been in a low state for a long time The above is the main factor leading to the recent decline in corn prices, but with the approaching of the Spring Festival, it is expected that domestic corn prices will show a warming trend before the Spring Festival.