It is estimated that the corn production of South Africa in 2001 / 02 is 8 million tons

Introduction: Agriculture counselor of the U.S Department of Agriculture reports At the end of October 2001, the national crop yield estimation Commission of South Africa conducted a new survey on the planting intention of commercial farms The survey shows that producers plan to increase the planting area of 150500 hectares or 9% of white jade rice and 76000 hectares or 7% of yellow corn It is expected that the corn planting area of Mpumalanga and northwest province will increase by 6%, and the corn planting area of free state will increase by 10% Corn acreage in South Africa is expected to be due to good price prospects, good rainfall, crop rotation and low inventory levels Corn prices for domestic producers have risen about 25% since the end of October, leading to the belief that corn acreage could increase even more But the highest monthly rainfall in November resulted in many areas, especially in the free state, being too wet to grow As information is not available and rainfall is just beginning to abate, there is no reason for us to reduce the survey area of intended cultivation at present The current crop situation does not prove that the unit yield has changed significantly from the previous year, although the data for 2000 has been revised based on the actual delivery volume At present, we do not know the production situation Last year's data was used as statistics The research shows that in the first six months of this year, although the domestic corn price rose, it did not have a significant impact on consumption The consumption of human corn lacks low-cost substitutes, and the price of animal feed and meat rises, along with the price of grain Inventory supply limits exports If it is estimated that the inventory carried forward at the end of April 2002 can only meet the demand of two months, the export supply of corn in this year is only 1.075 million tons So far, the export volume of corn is about 600000 tons, and the export volume in the remaining months will be slightly higher than 400000 tons The total export volume of white jade rice in 2001 / 02 is estimated to be limited to 640000 tons due to limited supply The export volume of white corn in the first six months of this market year is about 280000 tons The South African Customs Union and Mozambique still expect the export volume of white jade rice to increase by 220000 tons, of which 140000 tons will be the normal channel trade volume It is reported that Malawi purchased 150000 tons and Zambia about 80000 tons, because of the supply difficulties of these countries But the contract was cancelled because of restrictions on domestic transport The export volume of yellow corn is also limited to 435000 tons Due to the limited supply, 325000 tons have been exported, mainly to Japan In the remaining months of this year, about 110000 tons of yellow corn can be exported, which is also mainly sold to Japan Importers are accustomed to using domestic production of non GMO corn for export to Japan Zimbabwe, Latin America and Botswana also insist on using non GM corn as animal feed because they want to export more beef to the EU Corn exports in 2001 were not available due to time constraints, and imports will resume in 2002, as minimum access has been allowed According to the WTO agreement, importers can import 269000 tons of corn every year We expect that in 2002, South Africa will import about 300000 tons of corn, mainly yellow corn In 2003, the import volume will remain the same if the current climate situation is maintained The early import volume in 2001 will be calculated in the market year 2001 / 02, and the early import volume in 2003 will be calculated in the market year 2002 / 03 It is estimated that in the 2000 / 01 market year (May 2001 April 2002), the corn harvest area of South Africa is 3223000 hectares, the initial inventory is 2.04 million tons, the output is 7.5 million tons, the annual import volume is 300000 tons, the total supply volume is 9.84 million tons, the annual export volume is 1.075 million tons, the feed consumption volume is 3.45 million tons, the domestic consumption volume is 8.165 million tons, and the final inventory volume is 600000 tons 。 It is estimated that the corn harvest area of South Africa in 2001 / 02 market year (May 2002 April 2003) will be 3.45 million hectares, the beginning inventory will be 600000 tons, the output will be 8 million tons, the market annual import will be 300000 tons, the total supply will be 8.9 million tons, the market annual export will be 370000 tons, the feed consumption will be 3.425 million tons, the domestic consumption will be 8.05 million tons, and the ending inventory will be 480000 tons (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: