Great changes will take place in China's grain circulation after WTO

Introduction: "after China's accession to the WTO, the pattern of grain circulation in China is likely to change from" grain transportation from north to South "to" grain transportation from south to North " At present, China's grain distribution pattern is North grain transportation to the south, and the grain supply in the southern sales areas mainly depends on the northern production areas However, after China's accession to the WTO, China's grain industry will participate in the global economy Experts believe that after China's accession to the WTO, corn, wheat, rice and vegetable oil have the biggest impact on China's grain production Since the mid-1990s, China's grain supply and demand have changed dramatically, and the overall balance and oversupply of some agricultural products have begun to appear Accompanied by this, the domestic grain production cost increases at an average annual rate of more than 1%, and the prices of wheat, corn, soybeans and other major grain varieties are 30% to 50% higher than the international market Ding Shengjun, a researcher and food expert of the State Food Administration, believes that in terms of corn, such a situation may occur In the north, more corn is exported to Japan, South Korea and Russia, while in the south, it is in line with the economic law to import from abroad First, because the south is offshore, imports from the United States and Australia have a geographical advantage, Ding said When corn is transported from the northeast to the south, the loss of transportation is relatively large; secondly, the water and impurities of corn in the Northeast production area are relatively high, which can not catch up with the quality of foreign corn, so Southern merchants prefer to import corn However, some experts believe that it is also possible for the south to import and the north to export to be blocked, resulting in the dilemma of "entering the south but not leaving the north", which will bring great pressure to the main corn producing areas such as the northeast Zheng Chunfeng, manager of the planning and marketing department of Zhonggu group northeast grain and Oil Co., Ltd., thinks that there are several specific situations First, after China's accession to the WTO, the Chinese government has promised not to subsidize the export grain, so from the perspective of domestic corn cost, the export can only be on paper; second, after China's accession to the WTO, from the perspective of China's actual demand, As long as the annual output of domestic corn is no less than 105 million tons, it is difficult to realize the assumption that at least 3 million to 5 million tons of corn are imported from the United States in large quantities every year for several years Because China's "non export and anti import" will have a significant impact on raising grain prices in the international market Therefore, the idea that some domestic enterprises want to obtain cheap corn in large quantities through import can only be wishful thinking Experts believe that after China's accession to the WTO, the fundamental factor restricting the evolution of grain circulation pattern is the international competitiveness of China's grain To improve the competitiveness, first, we need to adjust the structure, improve the varieties, improve the quality, second, we need to improve the labor productivity and reduce the cost accordingly (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: