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    Home > Food News > Food Articles > Global wheat market: supply worries, wheat prices rise

    Global wheat market: supply worries, wheat prices rise

    • Last Update: 2021-09-28
    • Source: Internet
    • Author: User
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    Foreign media news on September 26: As of the week of September 24, 2021, global wheat prices have risen, mainly because global wheat supply is worrying, while demand remains strong, and the surge in oat prices has boosted the price ratio
    .
    The weakening of global economic concerns and the gradual recovery of U.
    S.
    Gulf exports are also supportive to prices
    .
     
    On Friday, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) December soft red winter wheat futures rose about 15 cents or 2.
    1% from a week ago, to close at 723.
    75 cents per cat
    .
    The December hard red winter wheat futures on the Kansas City Futures Exchange (KCBT) closed at approximately US$719.
    75 per bus, up US$6.
    75 or 0.
    9% from a week ago
    .
    The December hard red spring wheat futures on the Minneapolis Grain Exchange (MGEX) closed at approximately 916 cents per bus, up 15.
    5 cents or 1.
    7% from a week ago
    .
    Euronext's December 2021 milling wheat period reported about 253.
    25 euros/ton, an increase of 5.
    5 euros or 2.
    2% from a week ago
    .
    The spot price of Argentine wheat was US$298/ton, up US$6 or 1.
    7% from a week ago, FOB price
    .
     
      On Friday, the US dollar index closed at 93.
    28 points, up 0.
    1% from a week ago
    .
     
      This week, the International Grains Council (IGC) lowered its forecast for global wheat production in 2021/22 by 1 million tons, to 781 million tons, due to lower production in the European Union and Canada, but part of the decline was offset by the increase in Australia and Ukraine
    .
     
      The US Department of Agriculture’s weekly export sales report shows that for the week ending September 16, 2021, the US’s 2021/22 net wheat sales were 355,900 tons, a decrease of 42% from last week, but an increase of 1% from the four-week average
    .
    So far in the 2021/22 year, the total export sales of U.
    S.
    wheat has reached 10.
    7847 million tons, a decrease of 20% over the same period of the previous year
    .

     
      In the Black Sea region, this week SovEcon, a Russian agricultural consulting agency, raised the forecast of Russian wheat production in 2021 by 200,000 tons to 75.
    6 million tons, because of the good yield in Siberia
    .
    However, this will still be lower than the 85.
    9 million tons in 2020
    .
    However, IKAR recently lowered its forecast for wheat production in Russia in 2021 from the previous 77 million tons to 74-75 million tons, due to the decline in production in several regions
    .
    Russian farmers are harvesting wheat in 2021, and the yield is lower than last year because of the dry weather
    .
     
      Last week, Russian wheat export prices rose for the 10th consecutive week, as the prospect of tight global wheat supplies boosted wheat prices
    .
    According to the consulting agency IAKR, as of September 17, the FOB price of Russia's 12.
    5% ​​protein wheat at the Black Sea port was US$301 per ton, and it was supplied in early October, up by US$1 from a week ago
    .
    Consulting agency SovEcon said that the price of wheat in Russia rose by US$1.
    50 from the previous week to US$304.
    5 per ton
    .
    As the price of wheat rises, coupled with high export tariffs, continue to restrict Russian wheat exports
    .
    Russian wheat exports in July amounted to 1.
    8 million tons, a decrease of 21% year-on-year
    .
     
      This week, CBOT oat futures prices soared to the highest level in seven and a half years, which also boosted the bullish sentiment in the wheat market
    .
    This year, the oats in Canada and North Dakota and Montana in the United States suffered severe drought damage, and the output fell sharply
    .
    Statistics Canada said that as the world's largest exporter of oats, Canadian oat production this year is expected to be 2.
    6 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 43.
    6% due to drought
    .
    At the same time, the new crown epidemic has prompted consumers to switch to healthier foods, boosting the demand for oats to further increase
    .
    Soaring oat prices may cause oats to compete with spring wheat for arable land next year
    .
     
      The US Department of Agriculture's weekly crop progress report shows that as of September 12, the planting of winter wheat in the United States has completed 21%, and the five-year average for the same period is 18%
    .
    The winter wheat planting progress in Kansas, the number one producing region, is 13%, and the five-year average is 11%
    .
    The national winter wheat emergence rate is 3%, and the five-year average is 2%
    .
    Wheat prices oat exports
     
      On Friday, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) December soft red winter wheat futures rose about 15 cents or 2.
    1% from a week ago, to close at 723.
    75 cents per cat
    .
    The December hard red winter wheat futures on the Kansas City Futures Exchange (KCBT) closed at approximately US$719.
    75 per bus, up US$6.
    75 or 0.
    9% from a week ago
    .
    The December hard red spring wheat futures on the Minneapolis Grain Exchange (MGEX) closed at approximately 916 cents per bus, up 15.
    5 cents or 1.
    7% from a week ago
    .
    Euronext's December 2021 milling wheat period reported about 253.
    25 euros/ton, an increase of 5.
    5 euros or 2.
    2% from a week ago
    .
    The spot price of Argentine wheat was US$298/ton, up US$6 or 1.
    7% from a week ago, FOB price
    .
     
      On Friday, the US dollar index closed at 93.
    28 points, up 0.
    1% from a week ago
    .
     
      This week, the International Grains Council (IGC) lowered its forecast for global wheat production in 2021/22 by 1 million tons, to 781 million tons, due to lower production in the European Union and Canada, but part of the decline was offset by the increase in Australia and Ukraine
    .
     
      The US Department of Agriculture’s weekly export sales report shows that for the week ending September 16, 2021, the US’s 2021/22 net wheat sales were 355,900 tons, a decrease of 42% from last week, but an increase of 1% from the four-week average
    .
    So far in the 2021/22 year, the total export sales of U.
    S.
    wheat has reached 10.
    7847 million tons, a decrease of 20% over the same period of the previous year
    .

     
      In the Black Sea region, this week SovEcon, a Russian agricultural consulting agency, raised the forecast of Russian wheat production in 2021 by 200,000 tons to 75.
    6 million tons, because of the good yield in Siberia
    .
    However, this will still be lower than the 85.
    9 million tons in 2020
    .
    However, IKAR recently lowered its forecast for wheat production in Russia in 2021 from the previous 77 million tons to 74-75 million tons, due to the decline in production in several regions
    .
    Russian farmers are harvesting wheat in 2021, and the yield is lower than last year because of the dry weather
    .
     
      Last week, Russian wheat export prices rose for the 10th consecutive week, as the prospect of tight global wheat supplies boosted wheat prices
    .
    According to the consulting agency IAKR, as of September 17, the FOB price of Russia's 12.
    5% ​​protein wheat at the Black Sea port was US$301 per ton, and it was supplied in early October, up by US$1 from a week ago
    .
    Consulting agency SovEcon said that the price of wheat in Russia rose by US$1.
    50 from the previous week to US$304.
    5 per ton
    .
    As the price of wheat rises, coupled with high export tariffs, continue to restrict Russian wheat exports
    .
    Russian wheat exports in July amounted to 1.
    8 million tons, a decrease of 21% year-on-year
    .
     
      This week, CBOT oat futures prices soared to the highest level in seven and a half years, which also boosted the bullish sentiment in the wheat market
    .
    This year, the oats in Canada and North Dakota and Montana in the United States suffered severe drought damage, and the output fell sharply
    .
    Statistics Canada said that as the world's largest exporter of oats, Canadian oat production this year is expected to be 2.
    6 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 43.
    6% due to drought
    .
    At the same time, the new crown epidemic has prompted consumers to switch to healthier foods, boosting the demand for oats to further increase
    .
    Soaring oat prices may cause oats to compete with spring wheat for arable land next year
    .
     
      The US Department of Agriculture's weekly crop progress report shows that as of September 12, the planting of winter wheat in the United States has completed 21%, and the five-year average for the same period is 18%
    .
    The winter wheat planting progress in Kansas, the number one producing region, is 13%, and the five-year average is 11%
    .
    The national winter wheat emergence rate is 3%, and the five-year average is 2%
    .
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