Feed industry has a good prospect, and it is difficult to judge the recent rise and fall

Introduction: the feed industry is optimistic about the outlook for the fourth quarter of 2001 The feed industry is optimistic about the outlook for the fourth quarter of 2001 It is difficult to judge the outlook for the fourth quarter of 2001 Industry observers predict that the global production or production of company materials will increase by 1.5% in 2002 However, in recent months, the United States, including the developed economy, has also experienced a recession This has affected the estimation of the future trend of feed production, which is conservatively estimated to increase in 2002, slightly higher than the level of 1% In the middle of 2001, people are most concerned about how the global economic downturn will affect the feed processing industry The 9.11 terrorist attacks in the United States, followed by the military operations in Afghanistan, quickly spread to tourism and related industries And the armed conflict in the Middle East, oil exporting countries increased their efforts to control oil production and raise prices, making the economic situation of developing countries worse, including some developing countries with rapid growth of feed industry last year In addition to the impact of foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks in Asia, South America and Europe in the middle of this year, the discovery of bovine spongiform encephalopathy in Japan was also a major blow A2q last year, the growth of animal product production in major countries in Asia and South America has greatly promoted the growth of feed production Low cost production countries also have large exports of meat, which also requires a high amount of feed In addition, the growth of population is also the main driving force to maintain the sustained growth of feed production Apart from poultry, the consumption of meat products per capita has not increased China now has a population of nearly 1.3 billion, while India recently has more than 1 billion A2q when domestic meat demand is weak, increasing meat export helps maintain the level of feed production The relatively small food supply and the comparative advantage of the domestic currency over the US dollar have also encouraged feed production and meat exports in countries such as Brazil, Thailand and China A2q in North America, the proportion of fine materials needed for meat product export in feed production is increasing, which helps the United States and Canada maintain a stable growth The European Union has shown a long-term downward trend, but the broiler feed production has made some gains in the past decade Some countries, such as Spain, Ireland, Denmark and France, have reduced production of other meat products and feed to maintain production of pork and pig feed And while stocks in some countries are still growing, the number of animals in EU countries has declined for a decade in a row Today, the number of pigs and cattle raised in EU countries is 2% and 10% lower than in 1990 Ten years after the dissolution of the original trade group of the European Socialist Party, the feed industry in central and Eastern European countries still presents a chaotic situation Poland's proximity to the EU, as well as its open market and relaxed environment, has attracted investment in animal production and feed industry With the bulk trading of animal products in 2000, the Russian feed industry grew again The emerging Russian poultry industry is trying to replace imports with domestic chicken products In the Middle East, oil exporting countries such as Saudi Arabia are increasing new investment in feed, poultry and even essential products production In Turkey, however, a sluggish economy has forced feed production down South Africa and Egypt are on the increase, while other developing countries are supported by population growth Global feed production reached nearly 600 million tons in 2001, and continued to rise after an unprecedented decline in 1998 However, the production is still lower than the highest level of 60500 tons in 1997 In addition to the global economic downturn, a2q feed manufacturing industry received more impact on food and feed safety in 2002 Human health and environmental safety issues in Europe and North America will continue to spread globally with consumer and regulatory issues Current problems affecting feed producers include potential automatic disease hazards in feed (e.g., BSE and FMD), genetically modified feed and control measures for animal pollutants, especially the content of phosphorus and nitrogen in animal excretion It should be affirmed that the feed regulations established by Codex on the basis of science are more and more widely used, which will benefit the legitimate feed trade In any case, the dual trend of vertical and unified management of food production and consolidation of ownership of feed production capacity has become the development form of global feed industry in 2002 A2q