Egg production and market analysis this year

Introduction: according to the analysis of relevant insiders, it is expected that in 2002, the stock of domestic laying hens will be gradually reduced, and the price of eggs will still be low The broiler market is subject to the international market, and its activity depends on the export situation At the same time, with the reduction of tariff, foreign products, especially the cheap chicken legs of the United States, will flow into the Chinese market -- the price of eggs will still be low, and the stock of laying hens will be gradually reduced The price of eggs remained at 4.4-4.6 yuan / kg in December 2001, and the deficit of chicken breeding expanded It is expected that the egg price will still operate at a low level in the first quarter of this year If the number of layers on hand is not significantly reduced, it is difficult for the egg price to rebound After a long-term development, China's egg industry has entered a period of relative surplus In addition, there are no more ways for egg consumption, and the development of deep processing is not effective The situation of egg surplus has not been broken From the perspective of consumption mode, egg consumption is mainly fresh eggs Even if deep processing comes up, it can only temporarily solve the problem of surplus The consumption market of deep processing products may not be good Another way to solve the problem is to expand exports China's annual output of eggs is 20 million tons, ranking first in the world, accounting for 43% of the world's total output, but the export volume is only about 50000 tons At present, the export of eggs in our country still stays in the export of fresh eggs, and the export place is concentrated in Hong Kong and a few other regions The cost of eggs in China is lower than that in Europe and America, and the average export price is 200 US dollars / ton, so the export competitiveness is very large After China's accession to the WTO, China should vigorously explore Southeast Asia, Japan and other Asian markets, and take advantage of its geographical advantages to occupy the egg markets of these countries or regions, so that China's eggs become the leading export livestock products -- whether the broiler market is active or not depends on the export situation This year is the first year of China's accession to the WTO The reduction of tariff makes a large number of foreign livestock products flow into China's market From the price point of view, the first broiler industry that has been greatly impacted is the high cost of broiler feeding in China, and the green trade barrier plagues the export of broiler products in China The quality of broiler production in China, especially in Shandong Province, is closely related to the export situation China's broiler industry is the first to participate in international competition The large-scale competition makes China's broiler industry not only realize the industrialized production mode from the mode of production, but also quickly connect with the world in the level of good breed and breeding Broiler industry is moving forward to scale and standardization Under the pressure of the "switch" of the European Union and the "closure" of Japan, China 's broiler industry must put the standardization of the feeding link on the agenda Since 2001, China's broiler breeding has begun to explore this aspect Shanghai Dajiang and Shandong Jiulian have built high standard chicken houses Jilin Deda and Shandong Fengxiang have also made great strides in large-scale breeding, which paves the way for China's broilers to do something in the world competition -- with tariff reduction, foreign poultry products will flow into China The cost of broiler production in China is higher than that in other countries At present, the lowest cost of broiler production in the world is the United States, with the cost of feeding and processing about 30% lower than that in China, followed by Thailand, the European Union, and Brazil This is due to the high price of feed materials in China 45% of the production cost of broilers is feed, while 50% - 60% of the feed cost is corn Now the average price of corn in China is 20% higher than that in the international market Industry insiders predict that American cheap drumsticks will flow into China's market in advance, and the price is 1 / 3 of that of Chinese drumsticks -- China's chicken products still have export potential in Southeast Asia, Korean, Japanese and African markets Especially in the Japanese market, the price of chicken in the domestic market is rising and the stock is very small On December 20, 2001, China and Japan reached an agreement on agricultural trade disputes, and the Sino Japanese trade war gradually cooled After the Sino Japanese trade war, China's cheap chicken products are still very attractive to Japan Therefore, if China's chicken can enter the Japanese market smoothly, this year's broiler production is still very promising -- the situation of "fast chicken" dominating the world in the domestic market has changed a lot In Guangdong market, Sanhuang chicken has accounted for more than 90% of the consumer market In the northern market, Sanhuang chicken and Tuza chicken also gradually compete with "fast big broiler" Industry insiders remind that the development of China's broiler industry should not only focus on exports, but also on the research of domestic market, vigorously develop high-quality local chicken breeds, to meet the needs of domestic consumers, which is also the best way to cope with the entry of foreign chicken products (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: