Corn market is expected to rise in an all-round way

Introduction: according to the analysis of the development situation of China's corn market this year, according to the analysis of the development situation of China's corn market this year, the comprehensive rise of corn market is expected to form Uwv from the corn export situation to see the price trend uwv into April, China's export corn will continue to perform the remaining contracts of the previous year Due to the current shortage of corn export sources in Northeast China, whether the remaining contracts of 2002 can be completed before the end of April will test the corn supply capacity in Northeast China Industry insiders pointed out that according to the international corn market situation, the government's support for corn export this year may be reduced year on year It is estimated that the financial support is still 330-340 yuan / ton, which can continue to play an obvious supporting role in the current international environment From the perspective of enterprise profit, as foreign trade corn is superior to domestic trade corn in terms of procedures and risks, most enterprises show strong interest in export It is expected that with the active preparation of goods and shipment, the export task can still be completed The relatively tight supply of export goods supports the later market price rise From the perspective of the transportation capacity in Northeast China, the development of uwv starts from the Spring Festival Due to the increase of passenger traffic, mainline maintenance, freight traffic and other factors in Northeast China, the railway transportation capacity is tight From the current situation, the transportation capacity of Northeast China has not been significantly improved, and it is still difficult for enterprises to effectively match the freight cars, and the cost of freight cars has not been significantly reduced Most enterprises are still difficult to carry out large-scale outward transportation activities According to the introduction of local grain enterprises, enterprises with export conditions are more willing to export transportation, but they are not active in domestic trade delivery With the approaching of "May Day" and another peak of passenger flow, the railway transportation capacity will be more tense, and then the peak of domestic feed consumption will come, the corn inventory in Central Plains will be exhausted, the sales position of northeast corn will be very prominent, and the transportation capacity problem will become the top priority Affected by this, in the face of strong market demand, tight supply will provide power for the price rise Uwv from the policy trend to see the market development trend Due to the uneven distribution of the original planting structure and inventory structure in China, the historical inventory of corn in Northeast China is seriously overstocked In recent years, China's government has increased its efforts to sell historical stocks, and a new form of sales, grain bidding, has been formed Last year, China's grain auction fair was held frequently, and the market responded well The situation that the grain price dropped sharply due to grain selling did not occur, which basically reached the expected goal of the government This year, the government will continue this way, and the government's support for enterprises will increase Recently, it was learned from Changchun municipal government that this year, Changchun will cancel the storage subsidy and interest subsidy of 3.5 million tons of protected corn, and adopt the method of sales subsidy The increase of policy support will stimulate the active sales of enterprises, which may have a certain impact on the market in the short term However, in the long term, the decline of the overall level of inventory marks the decline of the effective supply in the later period The greater the sales force is, the higher the probability of the market price rising in the later period is From this point of view, the introduction of promotion policies will have a positive impact on the market To promote Uwv from the buyer's psychology to see the market price space At present, no matter from the perspective of farmers or from the perspective of enterprises, farmers and enterprises in Northeast China show a strong reluctance to sell They have low enthusiasm for the source of grain in their hands With the increase of purchase price, farmers' grain hoarding enthusiasm may continue to rise, while with the continued strong export momentum, seasonal consumption peak With the coming of the market, the mentality of the grain selling enterprises in Northeast China will become more and more intense With the increase of market demand and the decrease of sales channels, the driving force of the mentality of farmers and enterprises will become stronger, and the market price will rise rapidly Uwv the international market from the perspective of corn planting in the United States %Around, because of concerns about high fertilizer prices, a possible shortage of fuel supplies and the severity of this year's drought The lower expectation of corn planting area in the United States, to a large extent, enhances the confidence of the rising international market price in the future, and promotes the export of corn in China and inhibits the increase of import quantity In a word, with the passage of time, the development environment of domestic corn market is becoming more and more optimistic, and the market price rebound power is increasing It is expected that the pattern of red corn in China will be formed in April UwV