Brazil: pork production is expected to rise by 3% in 2003

Lead: a recent USDA report predicts that Brazilian pork production will rise by 3% in 2003 It's down from a few years ago The reason may be that the cost of corn and soybean meal in 2002 / 3 is overestimated, which will reduce the profits of farmers In addition, the current higher than expected number of stocks and low export volume will lead to more sows being slaughtered by the end of 2002 By contrast, pork production is mainly in the Midwest, rather than the traditional southern region Because of the investment in sow production in the Midwest, the relatively low feed cost, as well as the support of local government and tax and support Pork consumption is expected to increase slightly in 2003, although meat sellers are promoting both domestically and internationally Although the per capita consumption of pork in 2002 has increased from 9.5kg to 11.2kg/person * year, it is estimated that it will stagnate in 2003 because of the decline of consumers and purchasing power The export of pork may increase in 2003, but the increase is lower than this year According to trade data, Brazilian meat exports are too concentrated, mainly in Russia, and negotiations with the EU will take more time than expected Analysts say it will take time, health negotiations and aggressive marketing to develop non-traditional markets Although pork exports increased by 54% in January June 2002, the total export volume is expected to increase by 20% over 2001 The main pork exports occurred in the first half of 2002, and according to trade data, Brazil's meat reserves are high in Russia Brazil's pork export price fell to $1173 / T in January June 2002, down 20% from the same period last year A recent EU report strongly criticized Brazil's pork quarantine system According to trade data, the EU calls Brazil's pork quarantine system "extremely inefficient or ineffective." There is a lack of necessary controls, serum tests and pig and farmer identities for pigs and transport (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: