Analysis on the market trend of rabbit products in China

Introduction: new page 1 Chen Yifu, College of vocational technology, northwest agricultural and Forestry University (71210), p821 rabbit meat market prospect is promising P82 In recent years, the domestic market, such as Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Haikou, Fuzhou, Wuhan, Chengdu and other places, has increased the demand for rabbit meat; in addition, the demand for rabbit meat in the international market has increased, and the demand for rabbit meat in Japan, South Korea and Southeast Asia, especially in some European countries, such as the Netherlands, has surged The situation of rabbit meat export in China is getting better and better From 1997 to 2000, the annual export of rabbit meat in China was only about 20000 tons (20745 tons) By 2001, the export of rabbit meat had increased to more than 30000 tons (32998 tons) Compared with the same period in 2000, the export volume increased by 46.2% and the amount increased by 18.1% In 2001, the export volume of rabbit meat in China has doubled from 15029 tons in 1998 China has now joined the WTO, rabbit meat mouth business opportunities unlimited With the improvement of people's living standard and the development of rabbit meat processing industry, the domestic market has a huge consumption potential, and the rabbit meat market has a good prospect However, we should be aware that at present, agricultural and livestock products are still in the buyer's market, and the price of rabbit meat is not high and very unstable Last year, the annual average price of rabbit meat exported to China was only $1.64 per kilogram (equivalent to RMB 13.45) Although it is higher than the export price of pork, chicken and beef, it is the lowest in the past five years (2.18 and 19 in 1997) In 1998, $1.77/kg, $1.97/kg in 1999, $2.05/kg in 2000) It is estimated that the export unit price of rabbit meat in 2002 will fluctuate from $1.7/kg to $2.05/kg in 2000 Last year, the purchasing price of live rabbit in China's domestic market fell by an average of 5.65 yuan / kg, 28.66% lower than that of 7.92 yuan / kg in 2000 In the near future, the price of commodity rabbit has risen slightly, and the average price per kilogram has reached about 6 yuan (9-10 yuan / kg in the southern market and 5 yuan / kg in the northern market) Therefore, there is still a lot of work to be done to expand the export and domestic market, especially to raise the unit price and increase the income from raising rabbits P822 rabbit hair market low price hovers P82 my statistics 1994 to 2001 our country rabbit hair export and domestic sale unit price see Table 1 P82 it can be seen from table 1 that: ① from 1994 to 2001, the export price of rabbit hair in China was always higher than the domestic price, indicating that the export of rabbit hair in China has always been dominated, which has not changed so far ② The unit price of rabbit hair in China has declined in the past eight years The annual average export price in 2001 is 94.94 yuan, which is higher than the average export price of P82 in 1994-2000 Table 1 The export and domestic sales price of rabbit hair in 1994-2001 unit: yuan / kg P82 in 1994-1995 and 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 P82 export P82 domestic P82 105.20 132.59 138.90 165.64 118.08 86.79 101.43 94.94 P82 92.40 105.40 131.00 155.00 86.00 81.58 97.21 84.33 P82 note: both the export price and the domestic price are the annual average price; the export price has been converted into RMB at the rate of 1 US dollar to 8.2 yuan for comparison; the domestic price refers to the average price of four rabbit hair markets in Xinchang, Zhejiang, Dongtai, Jiangsu, Nanhui, Shanghai and Shizhu, Chongqing P82 price (121.23 yuan), down 21.69%; the average price of domestic sales in 2001 was 84.33 yuan, down 21.08% compared with the average price of domestic sales in 1994-2000 (106.85 yuan) P82 why is the price of rabbit hair declining in China? Can rabbit hair prices pick up this year? According to the analysis of the industry, there are three main reasons for the decline of rabbit hair price: ① the decline of export In the past few years, affected by the economic crisis in Southeast Asia, the export volume and unit price of rabbit hair and its products in China decreased; in recent years, the global economy declined, and the market demand was not strong In 2001, the export volume of rabbit hair in China was only 4065 tons, earning 470000 US dollars, 18.5% and 23.8% lower than that in 2000, respectively; the export unit price was 11.57 US dollars, 20% higher than that in 2000 In 2000, $12.37 decreased by 0.65% ② Reduced demand Due to the limited production and ingot pressing of wool spinning enterprises, the amount of rabbit hair used by wool spinning enterprises using rabbit hair as raw materials has been reduced by more than 30%; at the same time, the market of rabbit hair products is oversupplied, and more than 5 million pieces have been overstocked, resulting in the overstock of rabbit hair raw materials to finished products ③ The output of rabbit hair is not much reduced and the stock is increased Due to the high comprehensive benefit of raising long hair rabbit, although the price of wool has dropped in recent years, the quantity of raising rabbit has decreased, but due to the improvement of breed and the increase of unit yield, the total output of rabbit hair in China is still very considerable; in addition, there are a large number of rabbit hair stocks in long hair rabbit farms all over the country, and selling when the price is high, limits the rise of the price of wool P82 what is the market gross price forecast for this year? Can long haired rabbits be raised? According to the above analysis, the price of rabbit hair is still floating at 70-80 yuan per kilogram this year (currently 78 yuan / kilogram), which is impossible to be as high as that in 1997 (155-165.64 yuan / kilogram), so it should be normal to raise rabbits Rabbit hair is a high-grade raw material for wool spinning It has always been a key commodity exported by China, and its domestic market potential is also great Especially in the western part of China, the price of forage labor is low, and the cost of producing 1 kg rabbit hair is about 60-70 yuan P823 quality Rex rabbit skin price is stable and the best-selling P82 Rex rabbit skin price in China is briefly reviewed in Table 2 P82 Table 2 price of Rex rabbit skin in China from 1999 to 2000 unit: yuan / piece P82 year P82 year 1999 P82 1 to August P82 year September 1999 to January 2001 P82 year P82 2 to December 2002 P82 1 to March 2002 P82 High quality skin P82 40 P82 60 ～ 70 P82 35 ～ 46 P82 28 ～ 35 P82 et al P82 15 ～ 20 P82 30 ～ 40 P82 13 ～ 20 P82 8 ～ 16 P82 as shown in Table 2, nearly 3 In recent years, the market price of Rex rabbit skin in China has gone through three stages: low density stage, golden stage and adjustment stage The price fluctuates a lot, especially in the equal endothelium stage The golden stage is as high as 30-40 yuan / piece, which plummeted to 8 yuan / piece in January 2002 It's even hard to sell, and the inferior skin is even more neglected However, the price fluctuation of high-quality skin is relatively small, and the golden stage is as high as 60-70 yuan By January 2002, it will still be able to sell 28 yuan / piece, and it is quite popular P82 why does Rex rabbit skin price fluctuate so dramatically? There are many reasons, including market adjustment factors, "less goods increase, more goods fall"; and speculation causes the quality of leather sheets to decline, poor leather surplus is difficult to sell The ups and downs of Rex rabbit industry also teach us to prevent the "swarm" phenomenon in the breeding industry Rex Rabbit breeding should also proceed from the reality, not ignore their own conditions and market conditions, blind development From the price change of Rex rabbit skin in recent three years, we can get a useful enlightenment: the price of high-quality Rex rabbit skin is stable and selling well It seems that we should pay special attention to the quality of Rex rabbit Only by strictly controlling the quality can we make ourselves invincible In order to ensure the quality of Rex rabbit skin, it is necessary to strengthen the management of nutrition and sanitation, especially to select, retain, introduce and master the breeding technology Rex rabbit skin has great market potential at home and abroad It is an economic animal with great development prospect We are willing to do it with our will P82