Analysis of import and export of livestock and feed in the first half of 2002

Introduction: the export volume of frozen chicken in the first half of new page 1 is lower than that of BUW in the same period of 2001 Recently, it is said that Japan has banned Zhengda frozen chicken products in Qinhuangdao, Hebei Province According to the information of the enterprise, the export of 600 tons of cooked chicken products per month continues to maintain export, but raw chicken products are currently completely prohibited In the second quarter, the export consumption of broilers shrank In the first half of the year, the export volume of broilers in China will be lower than that in the same period of 2001 BUW ① in the first quarter, the export of live chicken, frozen chicken and other broiler products was blocked, which has caused the price of chicken breast and other products in Qingdao and other regions in Shandong Province to drop by 20%, with an average price of 1050 US dollars / ton; the export of domestic products for resale will promote the price of urban broiler products to fall, and the foreign trade slaughtering enterprises and chicken farmers suffered serious losses Due to the export of domestic products for resale is the high-grade part of broiler, the consumption is limited, which dampens the enthusiasm of farmers to raise chickens, resulting in a continued decline in the number of broilers in the second quarter BUW ② from February to April, the supply of broiler chicks in East China and South China was insufficient, the number of farmers' breeding decreased, and the production of broilers was reduced From January to February, 1 / 3 of the breeding poultry enterprises lost money, and the number of eggs hatched was compressed, which made the chicken seedlings extremely scarce, and the output of commercial chicken increased by less than 5% Because Japan usually adopts the system of traders coming to inspect Chinese export broiler enterprises, the Japanese government has not yet sent representatives to inspect the production of Hebei enterprises It is estimated that the export of Hebei broilers will be completely stopped in the near future, and it is estimated that 1500 tons of frozen chicken per month will be banned BUW in the first half of the year, the total number of live pigs in the pig production area was the same as that in 2001 According to the analysis of the status of live pigs of different days in 10 production areas in the first quarter, the supply of live pigs in the production area in the first half of the year remained at the level of 2001 BUW ① in the first quarter, the total number of live pigs in 10 production areas decreased by 1.56% year on year, but there was a slight increase in the number of live pigs with a weight of more than 51kg, ensuring a stable market of commercial live pigs in the second quarter Meanwhile, in the second quarter, the consumption of pigs decreased, and the purchase of slaughtering enterprises decreased In North China and Northeast China, the ratio of meat to raw materials is 1:5.20-1:5.85 At present, the purchase price of pigs is 0.638-0.688 US dollars per kilogram Most of the pigs raised in 10 production areas have profits (except Jiangsu Province), and the number of pigs on the market is stable BUW ② from January to March, the total stock of male and female pigs increased by 1.55% to ensure the stable supply of commercial piglets in the second half of 2002, the price of piglets fell, and the cost of raising pigs fell Since the first quarter, the price of piglets has been in the doldrums At present, the price is 0.70-0.73 US dollars per kilogram In the second half of the year, the supply of piglets has increased and the price is stable BUW ③ as the total output of piglets increased by 0.29% year on year, the number of fattening pigs in the second quarter will be lower than that in the same period of 2001 after two to three months of fattening In May, the price of soybean meal in China will keep rising Recently, the price of soybean and soybean meal in Northeast, East and North China will rise rapidly The average price of soybean meal will rise by 2 to 8 US dollars per ton The price of soybean meal in Shandong Province will rise the fastest, reaching 204 US dollars per ton BUW expects soybean meal prices to keep rising gradually in the near future BUW ① the state reduces railway freight, coupled with the continuous decrease of soybean stocks in Northeast China in the near future, and the supply of soybean meal in the near future decreases BUW ② new imports of genetically modified soybean products from the United States will arrive after the end of May, while the current imports from Brazil will also be postponed to June BUW ③ the crushing enterprises subjectively raise the price of soybean meal and reduce the loss At present, the price of soybean oil continues to be depressed, while the purchase price of soybean continues to rise, which makes the crushing enterprises in Northeast and North China in a loss state Only by raising the price of soybean meal can the loss be reduced BUW from April to may, the aquaculture industry is in the peak demand season of the whole year, aquaculture and poultry industry have entered the stage of fattening, and the demand for animal protein has increased steadily In the first quarter, the number of imported fish meal was small Due to the high price of domestic Peru fish meal, the recent average price is 772 US dollars per ton Some traders began to import fish meal from the United States, Russia, Chile and other countries with relatively low price, and at the same time, they also imported a corresponding number of container fish meal According to the analysis of the arrival of various fish meal importers, the imported fish meal from April to June is 70000-80000 tons, about 20% less than that of the same period in 2001 The price of imported fish meal is still difficult to decline and maintain the current situation BUW ① the import volume of Chinese fish meal in March was 39000 tons In the first three months of 2002, fish meal imports totaled 119300 tons, down 17.6% from the same period last year From March to June, the total supply of fish meal in Peru and other regions was 160000-180000 tons, down 20% - 30% year on year BUW ② due to the implementation of the regulations of the Ministry of agriculture on the fish rest period, the supply of domestic fish meal is insufficient and the price is rising At present, the price of domestic fish meal is rising to 550 US dollars per ton BUW ③ the demand for fish meal increased in inland freshwater aquaculture areas such as Hubei, Hunan and Shandong, while the demand for imported fish meal also increased in high-grade aquatic products such as prawn and eel In the near future, Europe will re import Chinese livestock products In the near future, China and Europe will hold consultations on aquatic products BUW learned from relevant departments that at present, some European countries have intention to resume importing Chinese livestock products In the near future, 13 European countries will resume the import of Chinese livestock products, including six categories of products, including broilers, rabbits and aquatic products BUW ① more than 90% of the drug residues in China's export related livestock products are considered to be qualified products by some EU countries Swiss Federal Health and veterinary authorities have officially issued a notice that Chinese chicken can be conditionally re entered the Swiss market for sale Switzerland tested 292 chicken samples from 13 countries, 132 of which were from China The results show that 96.2% of the samples are qualified products BUW ② in the near future, the drug residue testing center of the Ministry of agriculture of China and the relevant enterprise consortiums have re certified the European Union for domestic animal products export enterprises (including aquatic enterprises), and have cancelled the export qualification of individual animal products processing enterprises At present, the livestock products of domestic enterprises fully meet the relevant quality standards of the EU market BUW