Analysis and forecast on the market situation of animal products in China (1)

Introduction: new page 1 - one of the special information on the analysis and prediction of the market situation of livestock products in China At the first information conference on agricultural products in Jiangsu Province recently, Cai Ping, an expert from the Ministry of agriculture, made an analysis and prediction of the market situation of livestock products in China Cai Ping believes that in 2001, China's animal husbandry production maintained a good development trend, and the output of main animal products increased steadily Among them, the total output of meat reached 63.4 million tons, an increase of 3.5% over the previous year; the output of eggs reached 22.88 million tons, an increase of 2%; the output of milk reached 10.29 million tons, an increase of 12% The development of animal husbandry has promoted the development of the whole agriculture and rural economy, and increased the income of farmers According to the statistics of the agricultural department, the output value of animal husbandry accounted for more than 30% of the total agricultural output value last year In 2001, the per capita net income of farmers increased by 4.2% to 2366 yuan, an increase of 112.6 yuan over the previous year, including 35 yuan from animal husbandry, with a contribution of 1 / 3 Cai Ping said that analyzing the development situation of animal husbandry in recent years and combining with the changing trend of the whole national economic development stage, it can be said that vigorously developing animal husbandry after China's accession to the WTO is not only an urgent task, but also fully qualified, with good opportunities First, the development of animal husbandry is the leader of agricultural structural adjustment The development of animal husbandry plays an important role in realizing the transformation and appreciation of agricultural products, promoting the adjustment of planting industry, driving the processing industry and promoting the upgrading of agricultural structure At present, the supply of agricultural products is sufficient, especially the large surplus of grain, which is a good time to speed up the development of animal husbandry Second, the current basic balance of supply and demand of livestock products is also a temporary and developing balance The consumption of meat, egg, milk and other products of Chinese residents is far behind that of developed countries, and the gap between rural residents is even larger With the progress towards a more affluent and well-off life, the upgrading of consumption structure of urban and rural residents will be greatly accelerated, which puts forward higher requirements for the development of animal husbandry Third, China's animal husbandry has a good foundation for accelerating development The animal husbandry industry has changed from the past seasonal production to the annual production, from the past dual structure of grain economy to the three structure of grain economy and feed gradually, and formed the prototype of large-scale breeding Fourth, China's animal husbandry has a comparative advantage in world trade China's animal husbandry is a labor-intensive industry After China's accession to the WTO, with the reduction of import tariff rate, the price advantage of grain, cotton, oil and other major agricultural products has been basically lost The price of animal products is 30% - 60% lower than that of foreign similar products, which provides a wide space for the development of animal husbandry This year is the first year of China's accession to the world trade organization The reduction of the tariff on livestock products will surely bring a large number of foreign livestock products into China's market, which is undoubtedly a severe challenge to China's traditional high-cost and low-quality livestock production Therefore, we should make full use of and grasp the current favorable opportunities to accelerate the development of animal husbandry production.