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Yesterday's aluminum prices were strong and volatile, as of the close of the day, the internal base metals rose, of which Shanghai aluminum rose 0.
62%; LME metals were mixed, with London aluminum up 1%
as of 15:38.
Recently, an aluminum plant in Sichuan had an accident, the enterprise electrolytic aluminum built a production capacity of 200,000 tons, in July the enterprise due to the shortage of electricity in the province reduced production by about 10,000 tons, the current production area due to the accident may expand, promoting the rise in aluminum prices
.
Overseas, European energy prices are still at a high level recently, and it is expected that overseas smelters will not be able to resume production in the short term, and if the energy problem continues to ferment, there is a possibility
of production reduction and expansion.
Domestic supply remains high, and it is necessary to pay attention to the power supply at high temperatures
.
In terms of demand, the market transaction is general, and the overall maintenance is mainly demand-based
.
In terms of inventory, the social inventory of electrolytic aluminum showed a small accumulation, due to poor market transactions, there is still accumulation pressure
in the later aluminum ingot inventory.
In terms of price, low inventory and marginal cost support below aluminum prices, the recent energy crisis and aluminum plant accidents have stimulated prices, but long-term supply pressure and consumption has not improved to a certain extent on the price rebound height, it is recommended to be short-term neutral treatment, need to pay attention to the impact
of macro on market sentiment.
