8、 Pig prices are expected to rise seasonally in September

Introduction: new page 1: since the second quarter of last year, China's pig production has stagnated, and the stock market has declined steadily; the export of pork is not smooth, and the growth rate of domestic market has slowed down; the stable production and the weak demand of domestic and foreign markets have maintained the basic balance of pork production and sales 8、 September is the off-season for pigs to come out of the market and go on the market Insiders believe that the low price of pigs is expected to rise seasonally B9q pig production has stagnated for more than a year According to the survey of relevant departments, the total number of pig stocks in 10 production areas in China has been negative growth for five consecutive quarters According to the quarterly survey data, in the second, third and fourth quarters of last year and the first and second quarters of this year, the total number of cattle and pigs in 10 major production areas decreased slightly by 1.3%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 1.6% and 0.4% respectively compared with the same period of the previous year Not long ago, the media reported statistics from relevant departments that the total stock of pigs in 30 provinces and cities (excluding Tibet) in the mainland at the end of March this year was 0.5% lower than that of the same period last year, basically in line with the 0.43% decrease in the survey of 10 major production areas in May B9q the main reason for the poor sales of pork is the poor export trade of pork After China's accession to the WTO, foreign trade barriers no longer seem to exist, but the green barriers have increased unabated, the "threshold" of quality standards in some countries has become higher and higher, and there are indeed some deficiencies in the quality of pigs in China, resulting in a sharp decrease in the number of pork exports in recent years According to customs statistics, in 2001, China exported 100000 tons of fresh frozen pork, a decrease of 33.3% compared with 1995, and 1.96 million live pigs to Hong Kong, a decrease of 22.5% compared with 1995 Secondly, the domestic market is affected by "Clenbuterol", which to some extent affects the consumption of pork B9q due to the above reasons and other factors, the growth rate of pork sales in some cities slowed down, and the growth of pork consumption in the rural market was not fast Compared with 1995, the social retail sales of pork in Shanghai in 2000 increased by 29.57% in five years, with an average annual increase of 5.3%; while in 2001, the social retail sales of pork increased by only 2.2% compared with the previous year, with an increase of more than half B9q in the first half of this year, the price of pigs continued to be low, and it is expected to rise seasonally in August and September B9q's pork export to Russia has been blocked since March 15 Although negotiations resumed half a month later, the price of pigs in some major production areas fell sharply in April, and the price of pigs in the first half of this year was low From January to June in Shanghai, the purchase price of ordinary live pigs was 2.75 yuan per 500g, and that of lean meat live pigs was 3.51 yuan, down 7.9% and 6.1% respectively compared with the same period last year; the purchase price of live pigs in some major production areas fell even more than the same period last year Most of the pigs sold by farmers in the second quarter suffered losses, which affected the enthusiasm of entering the seedlings and making up the market, leading to a large drop in the price of piglets According to the survey of Zhejiang provincial city, the lowest price of piglets in some areas fell to 1.80 yuan per 500g, and some places saw the phenomenon of killing sows B9q is currently in the hot season of fire, autumn and high temperature It is expected that pig prices will rise seasonally on the basis of current prices in August and September B9q ▇ Yu Shian